Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 58.79%. A draw had a probability of 23.64% and a win for Pisa had a probability of 17.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Atalanta BC win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.31%) and 1-2 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.64%) , while for a Pisa win it was 1-0 (6.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.