Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cultural Leonesa win with a probability of 40.58%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 31.73% and a draw had a probability of 27.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cultural Leonesa win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (6.57%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 (9.34%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%).