La Liga Gameweek 20
Jan 17, 2026 3.15pm
Estadi Mallorca Son Moix

Mallorca vs Athletic Bilbao - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Mallorca

All competitions
Last game
Jan 11, 2026 1.00pm
Rayo Vallecano 1 - 0 Mallorca
Goals scored
19
Top scorer
Vedat Muriqi

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions
Last game
Jan 3, 2026 3.15pm
Osasuna 1 - 1 Athletic Bilbao
Goals scored
17
Top scorer
Alex Berenguer

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 37.95%. A win for Mallorca has a probability of 32.3% and a draw has a probability of 29.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Athletic Bilbao win is 0-1 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.01%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest Mallorca win is 1-0 (11.58%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.52%).

Result

Mallorca 32.3% (-1.68)
Draw 29.71% (+0.25)
Athletic Bilbao 37.95% (+1.41)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.68% (+0.16)

Goals

Over 1.5 64.35% (+0.09)
Under 1.5 35.65% (-0.10)
Over 2.5 38.15% (+0.16)
Under 2.5 61.85% (-0.16)
Over 3.5 18.05% (+0.38)
Under 3.5 81.95% (-0.36)
Over 4.5 8.82% (+0.18)
Under 4.5 91.18% (-0.18)

First Half Winner

Mallorca 25.59% (-0.59)
Draw 44.7% (-0.15)
Athletic Bilbao 29.71% (+0.74)

Team To Score First

Mallorca 38.87% (-2.25)
No Goal 11.6% (+0.07)
Athletic Bilbao 49.53% (+2.19)

Corners

Over 8 51.85% (+2.86)
Equal 8 11.86% (-0.13)
Under 8 36.29% (-2.75)
Over 9 40.31% (+2.72)
Equal 9 11.54% (+0.15)
Under 9 48.15% (-2.86)
Over 10.5 29.98% (+2.36)
Under 10.5 70.02% (-2.36)

Mallorca Goals

Over 1.5 27.03% (-0.99)
Under 1.5 72.97% (+0.99)
Over 2.5 8.81% (-0.61)
Under 2.5 91.19% (+0.61)
Over 3.5 2.24% (-0.31)
Under 3.5 97.76% (+0.32)

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5 66.74% (+1.25)
Under 0.5 33.26% (-1.25)
Over 1.5 31.54% (+1.19)
Under 1.5 68.46% (-1.20)
Over 2.5 11.04% (+0.85)
Under 2.5 88.96% (-0.86)
Over 3.5 2.85% (+0.34)
Under 3.5 97.15% (-0.33)

Score analysis

Mallorca 32.3%
Draw 29.71%
Athletic Bilbao 37.95%
Mallorca
1-0 @ 11.58% (-0.42)
2-1 @ 6.97% (-0.21)
2-0 @ 5.58% (-0.39)
3-1 @ 2.28% (-0.07)
3-0 @ 2.25% (-0.23)
3-2 @ 1.43% (-0.08)
Other @ 2.21% (-0.32)
Total : 32.3%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.52% (+0.09)
0-0 @ 11.6% (+0.07)
2-2 @ 3.95% (+0.06)
Other @ 0.03%
Total : 29.71%
Athletic Bilbao
0-1 @ 12.43% (+0.25)
1-2 @ 8.01% (+0.14)
0-2 @ 7.11% (+0.23)
1-3 @ 2.99% (+0.21)
0-3 @ 2.87% (+0.10)
2-3 @ 1.72% (+0.18)
Other @ 2.82% (+0.33)
Total : 37.95%

Head to Head

La Liga
Oct 4, 2025 5.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
La Liga Gameweek 27
Mar 9, 2025 5.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT San Mames Barria
  • Andoni Gorosabel 16' yellowcard
  • Nico Williams 58' goal
  • Ernesto Valverde 62' yellowcard
  • goal Antonio Raillo 56'
  • yellowcard Copete 72'
  • yellowcard Antonio Sanchez 86'
  • yellowcard Antonio Raillo 90'+6'
La Liga Gameweek 11
Oct 28, 2024 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Iberoamericano 2010
  • Samu 10' yellowcard
  • Samu 23' redcard
  • Johan Mojica 23' yellowcard
  • Cyle Larin 25' yellowcard
  • Vedat Muriqi 37' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Aitor Paredes 17'
  • goal Nico Williams 44'
Copa del Rey
Apr 6, 2024 9.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
ET San Mames Barria
  • Aitor Paredes 27' yellowcard
  • Oihan Sancet 50' goal
  • goal Dani Rodriguez 21'
  • yellowcard Vedat Muriqi 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Nemanja Radonjic 119'
  • yellowcard Giovanni Gonzalez 126'
La Liga Gameweek 23
Feb 2, 2024 8.00pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT San Mames Barria
  • Yuri Berchiche 3' goal
  • Yuri Berchiche 16' goal
  • Gorka Guruzeta 62' goal
  • Iker Muniain 89' goal
  • yellowcard Cyle Larin 75'
La Liga Gameweek 4
Sep 3, 2023 3.15pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Iberoamericano 2010
  • yellowcard Inigo Lekue 44'