La Liga Gameweek 22
Feb 1, 2026 8.00pm
San Mamés Barria

Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions
Last game
Jan 24, 2026 5.30pm
Sevilla 2 - 1 Athletic Bilbao
Goals scored
18
Top scorer
Alex Berenguer

Real Sociedad

All competitions
Last game
Jan 25, 2026 5.30pm
Real Sociedad 3 - 1 Celta Vigo
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Mikel Oyarzabal

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 39.04%. A win for Athletic Bilbao has a probability of 33.31% and a draw has a probability of 27.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.57%) and 0-2 (6.99%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win is 1-0 (9.77%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.01%).

Result

Athletic Bilbao 33.31% (+0.25)
Draw 27.66% (-0.09)
Real Sociedad 39.04% (-0.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.63% (+0.10)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.49% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 28.51% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 45.68% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 54.32% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 24.79% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 75.21% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 12.81% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 87.19% (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Athletic Bilbao 23.52% (+0.06)
Draw 46.17% (+0.22)
Real Sociedad 30.31% (-0.27)

Team To Score First

Athletic Bilbao 39.56% (+0.04)
No Goal 8.3% (-0.04)
Real Sociedad 52.14%

Corners

Over 8 55.88% (+1.33)
Equal 8 11.83% (-0.19)
Under 8 32.3% (-1.13)
Over 9 44% (+1.39)
Equal 9 11.88% (-0.06)
Under 9 44.12% (-1.33)
Over 10.5 33.07% (+1.33)
Under 10.5 66.93% (-1.32)

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 1.5 32.24% (+0.13)
Under 1.5 67.76% (-0.12)
Over 2.5 11.43% (+0.10)
Under 2.5 88.57% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 3.54% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 96.46% (-0.03)

Real Sociedad Goals

Over 0.5 70.54% (-0.09)
Under 0.5 29.46% (+0.09)
Over 1.5 36.79% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 63.21% (+0.11)
Over 2.5 14.03% (-0.09)
Under 2.5 85.97% (+0.10)
Over 3.5 4.25% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 95.75% (+0.04)

Score analysis

Athletic Bilbao 33.31%
Draw 27.65%
Real Sociedad 39.04%
Athletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 9.77% (+0.05)
2-1 @ 7.28% (+0.04)
2-0 @ 5.82% (+0.04)
3-1 @ 3.02% (+0.05)
3-0 @ 2.12% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.85% (+0.05)
Other @ 3.45% (+0.05)
Total : 33.31%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.01%
0-0 @ 8.3% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 5.35% (-0.04)
Other @ 0.09% (-0.03)
Total : 27.65%
Real Sociedad
0-1 @ 10.44% (-0.06)
1-2 @ 8.57% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 6.99% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.61% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 2.91% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.36% (-0.02)
Other @ 4.16% (-0.01)
Total : 39.04%

Head to Head

La Liga
Nov 1, 2025 5.30pm
3
2
HT : 0 0
FT
La Liga Gameweek 34
May 4, 2025 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Reale Arena
  • Pablo Marin 58' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alex Berenguer 44'
  • yellowcard Andoni Gorosabel 78'
La Liga Gameweek 14
Nov 24, 2024 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT San Mames Barria
  • Oihan Sancet 26' goal
  • Benat Prados 41' yellowcard
  • Inigo Ruiz de Galarreta 76' yellowcard
  • Yuri Berchiche 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Igor Zubeldia 21'
  • yellowcard Javi Lopez 53'
  • yellowcard Nayef Aguerd 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Luka Sucic 90'+5'
La Liga Gameweek 20
Jan 13, 2024 5.30pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT San Mames Barria
  • Alex Berenguer 30' goal
  • Alex Berenguer 42' goal
  • Unai Gomez 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ander Barrenetxea 61'
  • goal Mikel Oyarzabal 88'
  • yellowcard Mikel Merino 90'
  • yellowcard Robin Le Normand 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Aritz Elustondo 90'+3'
La Liga Gameweek 8
Sep 30, 2023 8.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Reale Arena
  • Robin Le Normand 30' goal
  • Mikel Merino 44' yellowcard
  • Takefusa Kubo 48' goal
  • Mikel Oyarzabal 66' goal
  • Igor Zubeldia 77' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ander Herrera 29'
  • yellowcard Daniel Vivian 44'
La Liga Gameweek 29
Apr 15, 2023 3.15pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT San Mamés Barria
  • Inaki Williams 33' goal
  • Inaki Williams 70' goal