Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 39.07%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 33.28% and a draw had a probability of 27.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (6.97%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 (9.69%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.