La Liga
Jan 24, 2026 5.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán
  • Peque Fernández 42' goal
  • Andrés Castrín 46' yellowcard
  • Akor Adams 56' yellowcard
  • Oso 57' yellowcard
  • Manu Bueno 73' yellowcard
  • Joan Jordán 81' yellowcard
  • Chidera Ejuke 81' yellowcard
  • goal Robert Navarro 40'
  • yellowcard Unai Gómez 57'
  • yellowcard Asier Hierro 57'
  • yellowcard Nico Williams 57'
  • yellowcard Mikel Vesga 72'
  • yellowcard Nico Serrano 77'

Sevilla vs Athletic Bilbao - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Sevilla

All competitions
Last game
Jan 19, 2026 8.00pm
Elche 2 - 2 Sevilla
Goals scored
30
Top scorer
Akor Adams

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions
Last game
Jan 17, 2026 3.15pm
Mallorca 0 - 0 Athletic Bilbao
Goals scored
19
Top scorer
Robert Navarro

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 42.65%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 30.76% and a draw had a probability of 26.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.94%) and 0-2 (7.87%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 1-0 (9.42%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result

Sevilla 30.76% (+0.11)
Draw 26.59% (+0.04)
Athletic Bilbao 42.65% (-0.14)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.36% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.02% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 28.98% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 45.22% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 54.78% (+0.06)
Over 3.5 23.62% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 76.38% (+0.02)
Over 4.5 12.32%
Under 4.5 87.68%

First Half Winner

Sevilla 26.09% (+0.02)
Draw 47.35% (-0.11)
Athletic Bilbao 26.56% (+0.09)

Team To Score First

Sevilla 45.28% (+0.28)
No Goal 8.45%
Athletic Bilbao 46.27% (-0.27)

Corners

Over 8 49.15% (-0.21)
Equal 8 11.66% (-0.03)
Under 8 39.19% (+0.23)
Over 9 38.04% (-0.17)
Equal 9 11.11% (-0.06)
Under 9 50.85% (+0.21)
Over 10.5 28.26% (-0.12)
Under 10.5 71.74% (+0.11)

Sevilla Goals

Over 1.5 29.04% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 70.96% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 9.96% (+0.18)
Under 2.5 90.04% (-0.17)
Over 3.5 2.86% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 97.14% (-0.05)

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5 72.02% (-0.32)
Under 0.5 27.98% (+0.31)
Over 1.5 38.55% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 61.45% (+0.06)
Over 2.5 15.61% (-0.09)
Under 2.5 84.39% (+0.10)
Over 3.5 4.98% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 95.02% (+0.07)

Score analysis

Sevilla 30.77%
Draw 26.59%
Athletic Bilbao 42.65%
Sevilla
1-0 @ 9.42% (+0.09)
2-1 @ 6.98% (-0.21)
2-0 @ 5.3% (+0.07)
3-1 @ 2.74% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 2.01% (+0.12)
3-2 @ 1.51% (+0.03)
Other @ 2.81% (+0.06)
Total : 30.77%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.63% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 8.45%
2-2 @ 4.62% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.05%
Total : 26.59%
Athletic Bilbao
0-1 @ 11.12% (-0.05)
1-2 @ 8.94% (+0.09)
0-2 @ 7.87% (-0.09)
1-3 @ 3.93% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 3.68%
2-3 @ 2.18% (-0.01)
Other @ 4.93% (-0.07)
Total : 42.65%

Head to Head

La Liga
Aug 17, 2025 6.30pm
3
2
HT : 0 0
FT
La Liga Gameweek 28
Mar 16, 2025 3.15pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan
  • Orjan Nyland 10' yellowcard
  • Djibril Sow 19' yellowcard
  • Saul Niguez 23' yellowcard
  • Lucien Agoume 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alex Berenguer 59'
  • yellowcard Unai Nunez 65'
  • goal Yeray Alvarez 84'
La Liga Gameweek 8
Sep 29, 2024 3.15pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT San Mames Barria
  • Mikel Jauregizar 36' goal
  • Julen Agirrezabala 82' redcard
  • yellowcard Jose Angel Carmona 55'
  • goal Alex Padilla Perez 90'+3' (OG)
  • yellowcard Adria Pedrosa 90'+7'
  • yellowcard Tanguy Kouassi 90'+7'
La Liga Gameweek 37
May 19, 2024 6.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT San Mames Barria
  • Raul Garcia 17' goal
  • Iker Muniain 19' goal
  • Inigo Ruiz de Galarreta 37' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kike Salas 45'+2'
La Liga Gameweek 19
Jan 4, 2024 6.15pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan
  • Djibril Sow 36' yellowcard
  • Ivan Rakitic 75' yellowcard
  • Marcao 86' yellowcard
  • goal Mikel Vesga 30'
  • goal Aitor Paredes 76'
  • yellowcard Raul Garcia 90'+2'
La Liga Gameweek 31
Apr 27, 2023 9.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT San Mamés Barria
  • goal Lucas Ocampos 90'+2'