Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 42.65%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 30.76% and a draw had a probability of 26.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.94%) and 0-2 (7.87%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 1-0 (9.42%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.