La Liga Gameweek 21
Jan 24, 2026 5.30pm
Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán

Sevilla vs Athletic Bilbao - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sevilla

All competitions
Last game
Jan 12, 2026 8.00pm
Sevilla 0 - 1 Celta Vigo
Goals scored
24
Top scorer
Akor Adams

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions
Last game
Jan 17, 2026 3.15pm
Mallorca 0 - 0 Athletic Bilbao
Goals scored
17
Top scorer
Alex Berenguer

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 41.98%. A win for Sevilla has a probability of 31% and a draw has a probability of 26.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Athletic Bilbao win is 0-1 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.89%) and 0-2 (8.03%). The likeliest Sevilla win is 1-0 (9.57%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.48%).

Result

Sevilla 31% (-0.70)
Draw 26.99% (-0.17)
Athletic Bilbao 41.98% (+0.90)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.55% (+2.09)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.47% (+1.88)
Under 1.5 29.53% (-1.88)
Over 2.5 44.55% (+3.13)
Under 2.5 55.45% (-3.13)
Over 3.5 22.82% (+1.66)
Under 3.5 77.18% (-1.66)
Over 4.5 11.6% (+0.50)
Under 4.5 88.4% (-0.50)

First Half Winner

Sevilla 25.77% (-2.06)
Draw 44.91% (-0.67)
Athletic Bilbao 29.32% (+2.72)

Team To Score First

Sevilla 44.36% (+0.09)
No Goal 8.75% (-0.59)
Athletic Bilbao 46.89% (+0.50)

Corners

Over 8 51.34% (-0.37)
Equal 8 12.12% (-0.23)
Under 8 36.54% (+0.59)
Over 9 39.61% (-0.11)
Equal 9 11.73% (-0.26)
Under 9 48.66% (+0.37)
Over 10.5 29.2% (+0.15)
Under 10.5 70.8% (-0.15)

Sevilla Goals

Over 1.5 29.2% (+1.02)
Under 1.5 70.8% (-1.02)
Over 2.5 9.56% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 90.44% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 2.74% (-0.17)
Under 3.5 97.26% (+0.18)

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5 71.33% (+1.33)
Under 0.5 28.67% (-1.33)
Over 1.5 38.2% (+2.75)
Under 1.5 61.8% (-2.75)
Over 2.5 14.46% (+1.27)
Under 2.5 85.54% (-1.26)
Over 3.5 4.66% (+0.49)
Under 3.5 95.34% (-0.48)

Score analysis

Sevilla 30.99%
Draw 27.01%
Athletic Bilbao 41.98%
Sevilla
1-0 @ 9.57% (-0.46)
2-1 @ 7.05% (+0.17)
2-0 @ 5.4% (-0.35)
3-1 @ 2.41% (-0.11)
3-0 @ 2.2% (+0.26)
3-2 @ 1.63% (-0.06)
Other @ 2.73% (-0.17)
Total : 30.99%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.48% (-0.67)
0-0 @ 8.75% (-0.59)
2-2 @ 5.19% (+1.04)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 27.01%
Athletic Bilbao
0-1 @ 11.19% (-0.83)
1-2 @ 8.89% (+0.73)
0-2 @ 8.03% (-0.23)
1-3 @ 3.63% (+0.23)
0-3 @ 3.59% (+0.32)
2-3 @ 2% (+0.19)
Other @ 4.65% (+0.49)
Total : 41.98%

Head to Head

La Liga
Aug 17, 2025 6.30pm
3
2
HT : 0 0
FT
La Liga Gameweek 28
Mar 16, 2025 3.15pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan
  • Orjan Nyland 10' yellowcard
  • Djibril Sow 19' yellowcard
  • Saul Niguez 23' yellowcard
  • Lucien Agoume 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alex Berenguer 59'
  • yellowcard Unai Nunez 65'
  • goal Yeray Alvarez 84'
La Liga Gameweek 8
Sep 29, 2024 3.15pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT San Mames Barria
  • Mikel Jauregizar 36' goal
  • Julen Agirrezabala 82' redcard
  • yellowcard Jose Angel Carmona 55'
  • goal Alex Padilla Perez 90'+3' (OG)
  • yellowcard Adria Pedrosa 90'+7'
  • yellowcard Tanguy Kouassi 90'+7'
La Liga Gameweek 37
May 19, 2024 6.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT San Mames Barria
  • Raul Garcia 17' goal
  • Iker Muniain 19' goal
  • Inigo Ruiz de Galarreta 37' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kike Salas 45'+2'
La Liga Gameweek 19
Jan 4, 2024 6.15pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan
  • Djibril Sow 36' yellowcard
  • Ivan Rakitic 75' yellowcard
  • Marcao 86' yellowcard
  • goal Mikel Vesga 30'
  • goal Aitor Paredes 76'
  • yellowcard Raul Garcia 90'+2'
La Liga Gameweek 31
Apr 27, 2023 9.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT San Mamés Barria
  • goal Lucas Ocampos 90'+2'