Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elche win with a probability of 49.51%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 25.7% and a draw had a probability of 24.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elche win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.96%) and 2-0 (8.24%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 0-1 (7.14%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.