Jan 25, 2026 5.30pm

3

1

HT : 1 0

FT Anoeta Stadium

Mikel Oyarzabal 17'
Alvaro Odriozola 46'
Igor Zubeldia 46'
Álvaro Odriozola 46'
Pablo Marin 70'
Pablo Marín 70'
Pablo Marin 71'
Mikel Oyarzabal 75'
Brais Mendez 81'
Brais Méndez 81'
Brais Mendez 82'
Orri Oskarsson 86'
Orri Óskarsson 86'
Brais Mendez 90'+6'
Brais Méndez 90'+6'

Oscar Mingueza 46'
Óscar Mingueza 46'
Iago Aspas 56'
Borja Iglesias 56'
Borja Iglesias 72'
Miguel Roman Gonzalez 76'
Williot Swedberg 76'
Miguel Román 76'
Miguel Roman Gonzalez 77'
Williot Swedberg 77'

Real Sociedad vs Celta Vigo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Real Sociedad vs Celta Vigo - prediction, team news, lineups

Preview: Real Sociedad vs Celta Vigo - prediction, team news, lineups

Football | 23 Jan 2026 20:54

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Sociedad

All competitions

W
D
W
D
D
W

La Liga

W
W
D
D
L
L

Last game

Jan 18, 2026 8.00pm

Real Sociedad 2 - 1 Barcelona

Goals scored

38

Top scorer

Goncalo Guedes

Celta Vigo

All competitions

W
W
W
W
D
D

La Liga

W
W
W
D
W
W

Last game

Jan 18, 2026 5.30pm

Celta Vigo 3 - 0 Rayo Vallecano

Goals scored

36

Top scorer

Williot Swedberg

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 36.92%. A win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 35.22% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (6.25%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win was 1-0 (9.54%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.

Result

Real Sociedad 35.22% ▼ (-0.08)

Draw 27.9% ▲ (+0.08)

Celta Vigo 36.92% ▲ (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score:

53.82% ▼ (-0.07)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.62% ▼ (-0.01)

Under 1.5 26.38% ▲ (+0.01)

Over 2.5 48.49% ▼ (-0.02)

Under 2.5 51.51% ▲ (+0.02)

Over 3.5 26.86% ▼ (-0.04)

Under 3.5 73.14% ▲ (+0.04)

Over 4.5 14% ▼ (-0.03)

Under 4.5 86% ▲ (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Real Sociedad 27.77% ▲ (+0.06)

Draw 44.23% ▼ (-0.06)

Celta Vigo 28%

Team To Score First

Real Sociedad 43.37% ▲ (+0.05)

No Goal 7.78% ▲ (+0.04)

Celta Vigo 48.85% ▼ (-0.08)

Corners

Over 8 52.83% ▲ (+0.31)

Equal 8 12.11% ▲ (+0.03)

Under 8 35.06% ▼ (-0.33)

Over 9 40.96% ▲ (+0.26)

Equal 9 11.88% ▲ (+0.07)

Under 9 47.17% ▼ (-0.31)

Over 10.5 30.29% ▲ (+0.19)

Under 10.5 69.71% ▼ (-0.20)

Real Sociedad Goals

Over 1.5 35.1% ▼ (-0.05)

Under 1.5 64.9% ▲ (+0.06)

Over 2.5 13.36% ▼ (-0.05)

Under 2.5 86.64% ▲ (+0.05)

Over 3.5 4.05% ▼ (-0.03)

Under 3.5 95.95% ▲ (+0.02)

Celta Vigo Goals

Over 0.5 70.65% ▲ (+0.06)

Under 0.5 29.35% ▼ (-0.05)

Over 1.5 37.07% ▲ (+0.03)

Under 1.5 62.93% ▼ (-0.03)

Over 2.5 14.46% ▲ (+0.03)

Under 2.5 85.54% ▼ (-0.02)

Over 3.5 4.49% ▼ (-0.01)

Under 3.5 95.51% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Real Sociedad 35.22%

Draw 27.91%

Celta Vigo 36.92%

Real Sociedad

1-0 @ 9.54% ▼ (-0.02)

2-1 @ 7.89% ▼ (-0.02)

2-0 @ 5.81% ▼ (-0.02)

3-1 @ 3.52% ▼ (-0.01)

3-0 @ 2.45% ▼ (-0.01)

3-2 @ 2.19% ▼ (-0.02)

Other @ 3.82% ▼ (-0.03)

Total : 35.22%

Draw

1-1 @ 13.06% ▲ (+0.04)

0-0 @ 7.78% ▲ (+0.04)

2-2 @ 5.69% ▲ (+0.02)

3-3 @ 1.15% ▲ (+0.02)

Other @ 0.23%

Total : 27.91%

Celta Vigo

0-1 @ 9.11% ▲ (+0.02)

1-2 @ 8.48%

0-2 @ 6.25%

1-3 @ 3.66%

0-3 @ 2.81% ▲ (+0.03)

2-3 @ 2.35%

Other @ 4.26% ▼ (-0.01)

Total : 36.92%

Head to Head

Oct 19, 2025 3.15pm

1

1

HT : 0 0

FT

May 13, 2025 7.00pm

0

1

HT : 0 1

FT Reale Arena

Aihen Munoz 63'
Martin Zubimendi 87'
Luka Sucic 90'+6'

Alfon 44'
Ilaix Moriba 71'

Dec 21, 2024 3.15pm

2

0

HT : 2 0

FT Estadio de Balaidos

Pablo Duran Fernandez 40'
Pablo Duran Fernandez 45'+1'
Javier Rodriguez Galiano 61'
Carl Starfelt 69'
Pablo Duran Fernandez 70'

Mikel Oyarzabal 20'
Benat Turrientes 28'
Sheraldo Becker 56'
Igor Zubeldia 71'
Takefusa Kubo 83'

Jan 23, 2024 8.30pm

1

2

HT : 0 1

FT Estadio de Balaidos

Anastasios Douvikas 45'+2'
Unai Nunez 74'
Luca de la Torre 90'+2'
Jorgen Strand Larsen 90'+3'
Mihailo Ristic 90'+4'

Mikel Oyarzabal 2'
Mikel Merino 65'
Sheraldo Becker 66'
Jon Magunacelaya 90'+5'

Jan 20, 2024 8.00pm

0

1

HT : 0 1

FT Estadio de Balaidos

Miguel Rodriguez 15'

Brais Mendez 11'
Jon Aramburu 30'
Mikel Merino 84'

Aug 19, 2023 4.00pm

1

1

HT : 1 0

FT Reale Arena

Ander Barrenetxea 22'
Martin Zubimendi 40'
Robin Le Normand 69'

Iago Aspas 51'
Oscar Mingueza 90'+4'

Form Data

Real Sociedad 2 - 1 Barcelona

Real Sociedad 2 - 2 Osasuna

Getafe 1 - 2 Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad 1 - 1 Atletico

Levante 1 - 1 Real Sociedad

Eldense 1 - 2 Real Sociedad

Celta Vigo 2 - 1 Lille

Celta Vigo 3 - 0 Rayo Vallecano

Sevilla 0 - 1 Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo 4 - 1 Valencia

Real Oviedo 0 - 0 Celta Vigo

Albacete 2 - 2 Celta Vigo