Copa del Rey
Jan 15, 2026 8.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Municipal de El Plantío
  • Alejandro Lizancos Saldaña 46' yellowcard
  • 46' yellowcard
  • 46' yellowcard
  • Miguel Atienza 46' yellowcard
  • Álex Lizancos 46' yellowcard
  • Kevin Appin 60' yellowcard
  • Inigo Cordoba 60' yellowcard
  • Kévin Appin 60' yellowcard
  • Iñigo Córdoba 60' yellowcard
  • Mario Gonzalez 81' yellowcard
  • Mario González 81' yellowcard
  • goal Ruben Iranzo 10'
  • goal Rubén Iranzo 10'
  • yellowcard Copete 46'
  • yellowcard 46'
  • yellowcard José Copete 46'
  • goal Umar Sadiq 50'
  • yellowcard Hugo Duro 64'
  • yellowcard Luis Rioja 64'
  • yellowcard Arnaut Danjuma 73'
  • yellowcard Dimitri Foulquier 82'

Burgos vs Valencia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Burgos

All competitions

Valencia

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burgos win with a probability of 36.78%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 33.53% and a draw had a probability of 29.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burgos win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.13%) and 2-0 (6.28%). The likeliest Valencia win was 0-1 (10.69%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (14.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result

Burgos 36.78% (+0.07)
Draw 29.7% (-0.02)
Valencia 33.53% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.61%

Goals

Over 1.5 67.14% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 32.86% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 40.97% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 59.03% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 21.02% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 78.98% (+0.05)
Over 4.5 10.56% (-0.03)
Under 4.5 89.44% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Burgos 26.06% (-0.02)
Draw 48.87% (+0.02)
Valencia 25.07%

Team To Score First

Burgos 47.63% (-0.02)
No Goal 10.08% (-0.01)
Valencia 42.29% (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 47.8% (+0.01)
Equal 8 12.13%
Under 8 40.07%
Over 9 36.37% (+0.01)
Equal 9 11.43%
Under 9 52.2% (-0.01)
Over 10.5 26.46% (+0.02)
Under 10.5 73.54% (-0.01)

Burgos Goals

Over 1.5 32.03% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 67.97% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 11.17% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 88.83% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 3.3%
Under 3.5 96.7%

Valencia Goals

Over 0.5 65.95% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 34.05% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 30.18% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 69.82% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 10.91% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 89.09% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 3.21% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 96.79% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Burgos 36.77%
Draw 29.7%
Valencia 33.53%
Burgos
1-0 @ 12.09%
2-1 @ 8.13% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 6.28%
3-1 @ 2.93%
3-0 @ 2.47% (+0.04)
3-2 @ 1.74%
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 36.77%
Draw
1-1 @ 14.02%
0-0 @ 10.08% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.7%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 29.7%
Valencia
0-1 @ 10.69% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 6.96% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 5.87%
1-3 @ 2.82% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 2.4%
2-3 @ 1.75% (-0.03)
Other @ 3.04% (-0.01)
Total : 33.53%