Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burgos win with a probability of 36.78%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 33.53% and a draw had a probability of 29.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burgos win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.13%) and 2-0 (6.28%). The likeliest Valencia win was 0-1 (10.69%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (14.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.