La Liga Gameweek 23
Valencia
Feb 8, 2026 8.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio de Mestalla
Real Madrid
  • Thierry Correia 72' yellowcard
  • Guido Rodriguez 72' yellowcard
  • Guido Rodríguez 72' yellowcard
  • Thierry Correia 73' yellowcard
  • Guido Rodriguez 73' yellowcard
  • Javi Guerra 81' yellowcard
  • Largie Ramazani 81' yellowcard
  • Umar Sadiq 82' yellowcard
  • Largie Ramazani 82' yellowcard
  • 82' yellowcard
  • goal Alvaro Fernandez 65'
  • goal Álvaro Carreras  65'
  • yellowcard Brahim Diaz 76'
  • yellowcard Trent Alexander-Arnold 76'
  • yellowcard Trent Alexander-Arnold  76'
  • yellowcard Brahim Díaz 76'
  • yellowcard Franco Mastantuono 82'
  • yellowcard 82'
  • goal Kylian Mbappe 90'+1'
  • goal Kylian Mbappé 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Jorge Cestero Sancho 90'+2'

Valencia vs Real Madrid - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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News

The match

Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Valencia

All competitions
Last game
Feb 1, 2026 3.15pm
Betis 2 - 1 Valencia
Goals scored
30
Top scorer
Hugo Duro

Real Madrid

All competitions
Last game
Feb 1, 2026 1.00pm
Real Madrid 2 - 1 Rayo Vallecano
Goals scored
60
Top scorer
Kylian Mbappe

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 52.16%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 24.88% and a draw had a probability of 22.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-2 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.8%) and 0-2 (8.74%). The likeliest Valencia win was 1-0 (6.43%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.

Result

Valencia 24.88% ▼ (-0.54)
Draw 22.96% ▲ (+0.17)
Real Madrid 52.16% ▲ (+0.40)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.16% ▼ (-0.03)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.85% ▼ (-0.27)
Under 1.5 22.15% ▲ (+0.26)
Over 2.5 55.04% ▼ (-0.24)
Under 2.5 44.96% ▲ (+0.24)
Over 3.5 32.14% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 67.86% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 4.5 18.65% ▼ (-0.25)
Under 4.5 81.35% ▲ (+0.25)

First Half Winner

Valencia 21.65% ▼ (-1.00)
Draw 38.04% ▲ (+0.15)
Real Madrid 40.31% ▲ (+0.86)

Team To Score First

Valencia 44.18% ▼ (-1.08)
No Goal 5.92% ▲ (+0.05)
Real Madrid 49.9% ▲ (+1.04)

Corners

Over 8 61.05% ▲ (+0.99)
Equal 8 10.83% ▲ (+0.25)
Under 8 28.13% ▼ (-1.23)
Over 9 49.73% ▲ (+0.64)
Equal 9 11.32% ▲ (+0.34)
Under 9 38.96% ▼ (-0.98)
Over 10.5 38.85% ▲ (+0.26)
Under 10.5 61.15% ▼ (-0.26)

Valencia Goals

Over 1.5 28.11% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 1.5 71.89% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 2.5 9.69% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 2.5 90.31% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 3.5 2.61% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 3.5 97.39% ▲ (+0.08)

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5 80.21% ▲ (+0.22)
Under 0.5 19.79% ▼ (-0.23)
Over 1.5 50.9% ▲ (+0.66)
Under 1.5 49.1% ▼ (-0.66)
Over 2.5 24.55% ▼ (-0.45)
Under 2.5 75.45% ▲ (+0.46)
Over 3.5 9.69% ▼ (-0.42)
Under 3.5 90.31% ▲ (+0.43)

Score analysis

Valencia 24.87%
Draw 22.97%
Real Madrid 52.16%
Valencia
1-0 @ 6.43%
2-1 @ 6.37% ▼ (-0.47)
2-0 @ 3.5% ▼ (-0.09)
3-1 @ 2.57% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 2.06% ▲ (+0.14)
3-0 @ 1.34% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 2.6% ▼ (-0.07)
Total : 24.87%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.57% ▼ (-0.26)
0-0 @ 5.92% ▲ (+0.05)
2-2 @ 5.36% ▲ (+0.33)
3-3 @ 1.11% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 22.97%
Real Madrid
1-2 @ 10.19% ▲ (+0.34)
0-1 @ 9.8% ▲ (+0.25)
0-2 @ 8.74% ▲ (+0.33)
1-3 @ 5.56% ▼ (-0.11)
0-3 @ 5% ▼ (-0.05)
2-3 @ 3.19% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 9.68% ▼ (-0.42)
Total : 52.16%

Head to Head

La Liga
Real Madrid
Nov 1, 2025 8.00pm
4
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Valencia
La Liga Gameweek 30
Real Madrid
Apr 5, 2025 3.15pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
Valencia
  • Carlo Ancelotti 22' yellowcard
  • Vinicius Junior 50' goal
  • yellowcard Cesar Tarrega 10'
  • goal Mouctar Diakhaby 15'
  • yellowcard Umar Sadiq 46'
  • goal Hugo Duro 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Max Aarons 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Cristhian Mosquera 90'+8'
La Liga Gameweek 12
Valencia
Jan 3, 2025 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio de Mestalla
Real Madrid
  • Hugo Duro 27' goal
  • Sergi Canos 69' yellowcard
  • Stole Dimitrievski 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dani Ceballos 36'
  • yellowcard Lucas Vazquez 78'
  • redcard Vinicius Junior 79'
  • goal Luka Modric 85'
  • yellowcard Luka Modric 87'
  • goal Jude Bellingham 90'+5'
La Liga Gameweek 27
Valencia
Mar 2, 2024 8.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT Estadio de Mestalla
Real Madrid
  • Roman Yaremchuk 4' yellowcard
  • Hugo Duro 27' goal
  • Roman Yaremchuk 30' goal
  • Mouctar Diakhaby 83' yellowcard
  • goal Vinicius Junior 45'+5'
  • yellowcard Vinicius Junior 72'
  • goal Vinicius Junior 76'
  • yellowcard Federico Valverde 80'
  • yellowcard Joselu 90'+10'
  • redcard Jude Bellingham 90'+10'
La Liga Gameweek 13
Real Madrid
Nov 11, 2023 8.00pm
5
1
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
Valencia
  • Dani Carvajal 3' goal
  • Vinicius Junior 42' goal
  • Vinicius Junior 49' goal
  • Rodrygo 50' goal
  • Eduardo Camavinga 62' yellowcard
  • Rodrygo 84' goal
  • yellowcard Pepelu 34'
  • yellowcard Dimitri Foulquier 56'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Paulista 67'
  • goal Hugo Duro 88'
La Liga Gameweek 35
Valencia
May 21, 2023 5.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio de Mestalla
Real Madrid
  • Diego Lopez 33' goal

Form Data

Valencia 1 - 2 Athletic Bilbao
Betis 2 - 1 Valencia
Valencia 3 - 2 Espanyol
Getafe 0 - 1 Valencia
Burgos 0 - 2 Valencia
Valencia 1 - 1 Elche
Real Madrid 2 - 1 Rayo Vallecano
Benfica 4 - 2 Real Madrid
Villarreal 0 - 2 Real Madrid
Real Madrid 6 - 1 Monaco
Real Madrid 2 - 0 Levante
Albacete 3 - 2 Real Madrid

Build-up

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