La Liga Gameweek 23
Feb 8, 2026 8.00pm
Estadio de Mestalla

Valencia vs Real Madrid - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Valencia

All competitions
Last game
Feb 1, 2026 3.15pm
Betis 0 - 0 Valencia
Goals scored
21
Top scorer
Hugo Duro

Real Madrid

All competitions
Last game
Feb 1, 2026 1.00pm
Real Madrid 0 - 0 Rayo Vallecano
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Kylian Mbappe

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Real Madrid win with a probability of 51.8%. A win for Valencia has a probability of 25.41% and a draw has a probability of 22.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (9.69%) and 0-2 (8.5%). The likeliest Valencia win is 2-1 (6.73%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.8%).

Result

Valencia 25.41% (+0.20)
Draw 22.79% (-0.18)
Real Madrid 51.8% (+0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.06% (+0.13)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.85% (+0.18)
Under 1.5 22.15% (-0.18)
Over 2.5 54.9% (+0.18)
Under 2.5 45.1% (-0.18)
Over 3.5 32.06% (+0.29)
Under 3.5 67.94% (-0.29)
Over 4.5 18.86% (+0.24)
Under 4.5 81.14% (-0.24)

First Half Winner

Valencia 22.65% (+0.19)
Draw 37.9% (-0.11)
Real Madrid 39.46% (-0.08)

Team To Score First

Valencia 45.17% (+0.25)
No Goal 5.92% (-0.09)
Real Madrid 48.91% (-0.17)

Corners

Over 8 59.9% (+0.06)
Equal 8 10.59%
Under 8 29.52% (-0.06)
Over 9 48.93% (+0.05)
Equal 9 10.96%
Under 9 40.1% (-0.06)
Over 10.5 38.46% (+0.07)
Under 10.5 61.55% (-0.06)

Valencia Goals

Over 1.5 28.06% (+0.21)
Under 1.5 71.94% (-0.22)
Over 2.5 9.52% (+0.12)
Under 2.5 90.48% (-0.12)
Over 3.5 2.67% (+0.07)
Under 3.5 97.33% (-0.07)

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5 79.88% (+0.09)
Under 0.5 20.12% (-0.09)
Over 1.5 50.13% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 49.87% (-0.11)
Over 2.5 24.88% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 75.12% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 10.12% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 89.88% (-0.10)

Score analysis

Valencia 25.41%
Draw 22.8%
Real Madrid 51.8%
Valencia
2-1 @ 6.73% (+0.04)
1-0 @ 6.55% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 3.64% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 2.53% (+0.04)
3-2 @ 1.94% (+0.07)
3-0 @ 1.36% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.66% (+0.07)
Total : 25.41%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.8% (-0.07)
0-0 @ 5.92% (-0.09)
2-2 @ 5.05% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.02% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 22.8%
Real Madrid
1-2 @ 9.76% (-0.02)
0-1 @ 9.69% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 8.5% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 5.63% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 4.99% (-0.09)
2-3 @ 3.12% (+0.04)
Other @ 10.11% (+0.09)
Total : 51.8%

Head to Head

La Liga
Nov 1, 2025 8.00pm
4
0
HT : 0 0
FT
La Liga Gameweek 30
Apr 5, 2025 3.15pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
  • Carlo Ancelotti 22' yellowcard
  • Vinicius Junior 50' goal
  • yellowcard Cesar Tarrega 10'
  • goal Mouctar Diakhaby 15'
  • yellowcard Umar Sadiq 46'
  • goal Hugo Duro 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Max Aarons 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Cristhian Mosquera 90'+8'
La Liga Gameweek 12
Jan 3, 2025 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio de Mestalla
  • Hugo Duro 27' goal
  • Sergi Canos 69' yellowcard
  • Stole Dimitrievski 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dani Ceballos 36'
  • yellowcard Lucas Vazquez 78'
  • redcard Vinicius Junior 79'
  • goal Luka Modric 85'
  • yellowcard Luka Modric 87'
  • goal Jude Bellingham 90'+5'
La Liga Gameweek 27
Mar 2, 2024 8.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT Estadio de Mestalla
  • Roman Yaremchuk 4' yellowcard
  • Hugo Duro 27' goal
  • Roman Yaremchuk 30' goal
  • Mouctar Diakhaby 83' yellowcard
  • goal Vinicius Junior 45'+5'
  • yellowcard Vinicius Junior 72'
  • goal Vinicius Junior 76'
  • yellowcard Federico Valverde 80'
  • yellowcard Joselu 90'+10'
  • redcard Jude Bellingham 90'+10'
La Liga Gameweek 13
Nov 11, 2023 8.00pm
5
1
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
  • Dani Carvajal 3' goal
  • Vinicius Junior 42' goal
  • Vinicius Junior 49' goal
  • Rodrygo 50' goal
  • Eduardo Camavinga 62' yellowcard
  • Rodrygo 84' goal
  • yellowcard Pepelu 34'
  • yellowcard Dimitri Foulquier 56'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Paulista 67'
  • goal Hugo Duro 88'
La Liga Gameweek 35
May 21, 2023 5.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio de Mestalla
  • Diego Lopez 33' goal

Build-up

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