Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 41.03%. A win for Real Madrid had a probability of 36.12% and a draw had a probability of 22.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.98%) and 2-0 (6%). The likeliest Real Madrid win was 1-2 (8.34%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.52%).