Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Benfica win with a probability of 40.44%. A win for Real Madrid has a probability of 36.78% and a draw has a probability of 22.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8%) and 2-0 (5.69%). The likeliest Real Madrid win is 1-2 (8.5%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.18%).