Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 64.91%. A draw had a probability of 21.15% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 13.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.73%) and 1-2 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.55%) , while for a Rio Ave win it was 1-0 (5.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.