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Benfica
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 17
Jan 3, 2026 at 6pm UK
 
Estoril

vs.

Coverage of the Primeira Liga clash between Benfica and Estoril Praia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Braga 2-2 Benfica
Sunday, December 28 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estoril 4-1 Alverca
Saturday, December 27 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Benfica win with a probability of 71.43%. A draw has a probability of 17.23% and a win for Estoril Praia has a probability of 11.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win is 2-0 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.15%) , while for a Estoril Praia win it is 0-1 (3.49%).

Result
BenficaDrawEstoril Praia
71.43% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)17.23% (0.0030000000000001 0)11.34% (0.0059999999999985 0.01)
Both teams to score 50.31% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.96% (0.0019999999999953 0)39.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.64% (0.0030000000000001 0)61.36% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.33% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)9.67% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.74% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)32.26% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.7% (0.014000000000003 0.01)44.3% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.63% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)80.37% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Benfica 71.42%
    Estoril Praia 11.34%
    Draw 17.23%
BenficaDrawEstoril Praia
2-0 @ 11.69%
1-0 @ 10%
2-1 @ 9.52% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 9.1% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 7.41% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 5.32% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 4.33%
3-2 @ 3.02% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-0 @ 2.48% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
5-1 @ 2.02%
4-2 @ 1.76%
6-0 @ 0.97% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 3.8%
Total : 71.42%
1-1 @ 8.15% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-0 @ 4.28% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 3.87% (0.0020000000000002 0)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 17.23%
0-1 @ 3.49% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-2 @ 3.32% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-2 @ 1.42% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.05% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 11.34%

Head to Head
May 3, 2025 8.30pm
gameweek 32
Estoril
1-2
Benfica
Zanocelo (78')
Orellana (63'), Zanocelo (83')
Aursnes (7'), Otamendi (35')
Pavlidis (28'), Luis (74')
Dec 23, 2024 6.45pm
gameweek 15
Benfica
3-0
Estoril
Pavlidis (28'), Amdouni (73', 90+4')
Kokcu (67')

Boma (34')
Mar 10, 2024 8.30pm
gameweek 25
Benfica
3-1
Estoril
Kokcu (15'), Leonardo (45+2'), Gouveia (49')
Gomes (22')
Jan 24, 2024 7.45pm
Semi-Finals
Benfica
1-1
Estoril
(Aggregate 1-1 | Estoril win 5-4 on penalties)
Otamendi (58')
Schmidt (45'), Mario (62'), Morato (77'), Gouveia (89'), Fernandes (90+1')
Guitane (16')
Kokcu (45+2'), Pina (45+2'), Mangala (67')
Oct 7, 2023 8.30pm
gameweek 8
Estoril
0-1
Benfica

Cassiano (41'), Tavares (62'), Fernandes (71')
Silva (90+3')
Chiquinho (49'), Silva (61')