Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 72.73%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 9.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.7%) and 3-0 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.1%) , while for a Estrela Amadora win it was 0-1 (3.78%).