Primeira Liga Gameweek 18
Jan 19, 2026 8.15pm
Estádio José Gomes

Estrela Amadora vs Estoril Praia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Estrela Amadora

All competitions
Last game
Jan 3, 2026 6.00pm
Estrela Amadora 3 - 3 Braga
Goals scored
23
Top scorer
Kikas

Estoril Praia

All competitions
Last game
Jan 3, 2026 6.00pm
Benfica 3 - 1 Estoril
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Yanis Begraoui

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Estrela Amadora win with a probability of 42%. A win for Estoril Praia has a probability of 30.79% and a draw has a probability of 27.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estrela Amadora win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Estoril Praia win is 0-1 (8.77%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.34%).

Result

Estrela Amadora 42%
Draw 27.21%
Estoril Praia 30.79%

Both Teams to Score: 

51.98% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.47% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 28.53% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 47.22% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 52.78% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 26%
Under 3.5 74%
Over 4.5 13.79% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 86.21% (+0.01)

First Half Winner

Estrela Amadora 32.51%
Draw 42.92%
Estoril Praia 24.56%

Team To Score First

Estrela Amadora 48.86% (-0.03)
No Goal 8.46% (+0.03)
Estoril Praia 42.68%

Corners

Over 8 59.11%
Equal 8 11.37%
Under 8 29.51%
Over 9 47.41%
Equal 9 11.7%
Under 9 40.89%
Over 10.5 36.36%
Under 10.5 63.64%

Estrela Amadora Goals

Over 1.5 39.21% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 60.79% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 15.93% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 84.07% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 5.33% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 94.67% (+0.02)

Estoril Praia Goals

Over 0.5 64.46% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 35.54% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 30.84% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 69.16% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 10.85% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 89.15% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 3.1%
Under 3.5 96.9%

Score analysis

Estrela Amadora 42%
Draw 27.21%
Estoril Praia 30.79%
Estrela Amadora
1-0 @ 11.3%
2-1 @ 8.61%
2-0 @ 7.07%
3-1 @ 3.9%
3-0 @ 3.41%
3-2 @ 2.41%
Other @ 5.3%
Total : 42%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.34% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 8.46% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 5.5% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.03% (-0.02)
Total : 27.21%
Estoril Praia
0-1 @ 8.77%
1-2 @ 7.24%
0-2 @ 4.84%
1-3 @ 2.81%
2-3 @ 2.1%
0-3 @ 1.96% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.07% (+0.01)
Total : 30.79%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga
Aug 11, 2025 6.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Primeira Liga Gameweek 34
May 17, 2025 6.00pm
4
0
HT : 4 0
FT Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota
  • Yanis Begraoui 6' goal
  • Yanis Begraoui 8' goal
  • Andre Lacximicant 20' goal
  • Yanis Begraoui 23' goal
  • Jordan Holsgrove 25' yellowcard
  • Pedro Amaral 70' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alan Ruiz 25'
  • yellowcard Miguel Lopes 85'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 17
Jan 5, 2025 8.30pm
2
4
HT : 0 3
FT Estadio Jose Gomes
  • Tiago Gabriel Coelho Oliveira 48' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Pinho 56' yellowcard
  • Andre Luiz 57' goal
  • Rodrigo Pinho 70' goal
  • goal Xeka 15'
  • goal Yanis Begraoui 25'
  • goal Tiago Gabriel Coelho Oliveira 31' (OG)
  • goal Alejandro Marques 76'
  • yellowcard Alejandro Marques 83'
Club Friendlies 3
Jul 23, 2024 11.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Jose Gomes da Costa
Primeira Liga Gameweek 20
Feb 4, 2024 6.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota
  • Alejandro Marques 38' yellowcard
  • Mateus Fernandes 57' goal
  • Joao Marques 71' yellowcard
  • Mor Ndiaye 75' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Leonel Bucca 79'
  • yellowcard Pedro Sa 85'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 3
Aug 25, 2023 8.15pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Jose Gomes
  • Ronaldo Tavares 47' goal
  • Ronald Pereira Martins 87' yellowcard
  • Leo Cordeiro 90'+10' goal
  • goal Joao Marques 67'
  • yellowcard Jordan Holsgrove 87'