Primeira Liga Gameweek 18
Estrela Amadora
Jan 19, 2026 8.15pm
0
5
HT : 0 2
FT Estádio José Gomes
Estoril
  • Guilherme Montoia 46' yellowcard
  • Jovane Cabral 46' yellowcard
  • Guilherme Montóia 46' yellowcard
  • 67' yellowcard
  • Alisson Souza de Jesus 67' yellowcard
  • Robson Lucas Oliveira Botelho 67' yellowcard
  • Robinho 67' yellowcard
  • Robson Lucas Oliveira Botelho 68' yellowcard
  • Atanas Atanasov Chernev 80' yellowcard
  • Atanas Chernev 80' yellowcard
  • goal Joao Carvalho 3'
  • goal João Carvalho 3'
  • goal Yanis Begraoui 51'
  • yellowcard Yanis Begraoui 54'
  • goal Alejandro Marques 64'
  • goal Alejandro Marqués 64'
  • yellowcard Antef Tsoungui 66'
  • yellowcard Ferro 66'
  • yellowcard Pizzi 66'
  • yellowcard 67'
  • yellowcard Ferro 67'
  • yellowcard André Tiago Ramos das Neves 67'
  • yellowcard André Tiago Ramos das Neves 68'
  • yellowcard Ricard Sanchez 68'
  • goal Yanis Begraoui 70'
  • yellowcard Nodar Lominadze 78'

Estrela Amadora vs Estoril Praia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Estrela Amadora

All competitions
Last game
Jan 3, 2026 6.00pm
Estrela Amadora 3 - 3 Braga
Goals scored
26
Top scorer
Kikas

Estoril Praia

All competitions
Last game
Jan 3, 2026 6.00pm
Benfica 3 - 1 Estoril
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Yanis Begraoui

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estrela Amadora win with a probability of 41.42%. A win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 30.77% and a draw had a probability of 27.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estrela Amadora win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Estoril Praia win was 0-1 (9.16%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%).

Result

Estrela Amadora 41.42% ▼ (-0.31)
Draw 27.81% ▲ (+0.42)
Estoril Praia 30.77% ▼ (-0.13)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.33% ▲ (+0.12)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.42% ▼ (-0.32)
Under 1.5 29.58% ▲ (+0.31)
Over 2.5 45.67% ▼ (-0.45)
Under 2.5 54.33% ▲ (+0.45)
Over 3.5 24.75% ▼ (-0.52)
Under 3.5 75.25% ▲ (+0.52)
Over 4.5 13.01% ▼ (-0.35)
Under 4.5 86.99% ▲ (+0.35)

First Half Winner

Estrela Amadora 32.69% ▼ (-0.40)
Draw 40.76% ▼ (-1.36)
Estoril Praia 26.54% ▲ (+1.74)

Team To Score First

Estrela Amadora 47.57% ▼ (-0.47)
No Goal 8.83% ▲ (+0.12)
Estoril Praia 43.6% ▲ (+0.35)

Corners

Over 8 57.53% ▼ (-0.88)
Equal 8 11.82% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 8 30.65% ▲ (+0.86)
Over 9 45.5% ▼ (-0.82)
Equal 9 12.03% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 9 42.47% ▲ (+0.88)
Over 10.5 34.3% ▼ (-0.68)
Under 10.5 65.7% ▲ (+0.69)

Estrela Amadora Goals

Over 1.5 38.14% ▼ (-0.34)
Under 1.5 61.86% ▲ (+0.34)
Over 2.5 15.13% ▼ (-0.35)
Under 2.5 84.87% ▲ (+0.36)
Over 3.5 4.93% ▼ (-0.25)
Under 3.5 95.07% ▲ (+0.25)

Estoril Praia Goals

Over 0.5 64.4% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 0.5 35.6% ▼ (-0.16)
Over 1.5 30.16% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 1.5 69.84% ▲ (+0.16)
Over 2.5 10.48% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 2.5 89.52% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 3.5 2.93% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 3.5 97.07% ▲ (+0.05)

Score analysis

Estrela Amadora 41.42%
Draw 27.82%
Estoril Praia 30.79%
Estrela Amadora
1-0 @ 11.62% ▲ (+0.09)
2-1 @ 8.55% ▲ (+0.08)
2-0 @ 7.06% ▼ (-0.10)
3-1 @ 3.81% ▼ (-0.11)
3-0 @ 3.25% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.26%
Other @ 4.87% ▼ (-0.27)
Total : 41.42%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.72% ▲ (+0.24)
0-0 @ 8.83% ▲ (+0.12)
2-2 @ 5.33% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 0.06% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 27.82%
Estoril Praia
0-1 @ 9.16% ▲ (+0.13)
1-2 @ 7.14% ▼ (-0.07)
0-2 @ 4.95% ▼ (-0.05)
1-3 @ 2.62% ▼ (-0.09)
2-3 @ 2.07% ▼ (-0.04)
0-3 @ 1.98% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 2.87% ▼ (-0.07)
Total : 30.79%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga
Estoril
Aug 11, 2025 6.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Estrela Amadora
Primeira Liga Gameweek 34
Estoril
May 17, 2025 6.00pm
4
0
HT : 4 0
FT Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota
Estrela Amadora
  • Yanis Begraoui 6' goal
  • Yanis Begraoui 8' goal
  • Andre Lacximicant 20' goal
  • Yanis Begraoui 23' goal
  • Jordan Holsgrove 25' yellowcard
  • Pedro Amaral 70' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alan Ruiz 25'
  • yellowcard Miguel Lopes 85'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 17
Estrela Amadora
Jan 5, 2025 8.30pm
2
4
HT : 0 3
FT Estadio Jose Gomes
Estoril
  • Tiago Gabriel Coelho Oliveira 48' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Pinho 56' yellowcard
  • Andre Luiz 57' goal
  • Rodrigo Pinho 70' goal
  • goal Xeka 15'
  • goal Yanis Begraoui 25'
  • goal Tiago Gabriel Coelho Oliveira 31' (OG)
  • goal Alejandro Marques 76'
  • yellowcard Alejandro Marques 83'
Club Friendlies 3
Estrela Amadora
Jul 23, 2024 11.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Jose Gomes da Costa
Estoril
Primeira Liga Gameweek 20
Estoril
Feb 4, 2024 6.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota
Estrela Amadora
  • Alejandro Marques 38' yellowcard
  • Mateus Fernandes 57' goal
  • Joao Marques 71' yellowcard
  • Mor Ndiaye 75' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Leonel Bucca 79'
  • yellowcard Pedro Sa 85'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 3
Estrela Amadora
Aug 25, 2023 8.15pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Jose Gomes
Estoril
  • Ronaldo Tavares 47' goal
  • Ronald Pereira Martins 87' yellowcard
  • Leo Cordeiro 90'+10' goal
  • goal Joao Marques 67'
  • yellowcard Jordan Holsgrove 87'

Form Data

Estrela Amadora 3 - 3 Braga
Famalicao 2 - 3 Estrela Amadora
Estrela Amadora 0 - 0 Moreirense
Porto 3 - 1 Estrela Amadora
Estrela Amadora 3 - 1 Arouca
Sporting Lisbon 4 - 0 Estrela Amadora
Benfica 3 - 1 Estoril
Estoril 4 - 1 Alverca
Estoril 1 - 0 Braga
Famalicao 4 - 0 Estoril
Estoril 3 - 3 Moreirense
Porto 1 - 0 Estoril