Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 60.38%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 16.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.06%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.87%) , while for a Estrela Amadora win it was 0-1 (6.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Famalicao | Draw | Estrela Amadora |
| 60.38% ( | 23.1% ( | 16.52% ( |
| Both teams to score 45.29% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.9% ( | 53.1% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.32% ( | 74.68% ( |
| Famalicao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.76% ( | 17.24% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.46% ( | 47.54% ( |
| Estrela Amadora Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.72% ( | 45.28% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.84% ( | 81.16% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Famalicao | Draw | Estrela Amadora |
| 1-0 @ 13.72% ( 2-0 @ 12.06% ( 2-1 @ 9.56% ( 3-0 @ 7.07% ( 3-1 @ 5.6% ( 4-0 @ 3.11% ( 4-1 @ 2.46% ( 3-2 @ 2.22% ( 5-0 @ 1.09% ( 4-2 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.51% Total : 60.37% | 1-1 @ 10.87% ( 0-0 @ 7.81% ( 2-2 @ 3.79% ( Other @ 0.64% Total : 23.1% | 0-1 @ 6.18% ( 1-2 @ 4.31% ( 0-2 @ 2.45% ( 1-3 @ 1.14% ( 2-3 @ 1% ( Other @ 1.44% Total : 16.52% |