Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 65.37%. A draw had a probability of 18.52% and a win for Girona had a probability of 16.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.35%) and 0-1 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.99%) , while for a Girona win it was 1-0 (4.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.