Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 40.6%. A win for Real Oviedo had a probability of 32.49% and a draw had a probability of 26.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.76%) and 0-2 (7.15%). The likeliest Real Oviedo win was 1-0 (9.77%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.