Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 47.85%. A draw had a probability of 28.56% and a win for Real Oviedo had a probability of 23.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.67%) and 2-1 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.33%) , while for a Real Oviedo win it was 0-1 (9.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.