Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 41.63%. A win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 37.66% and a draw had a probability of 20.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.05%) and 0-1 (5.04%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win was 2-1 (6.84%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.17%).