Copa del Rey
Feb 12, 2026 8.00pm
Riyadh Air Metropolitano

Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Madrid

All competitions

Barcelona

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Barcelona win with a probability of 41.75%. A win for Atletico Madrid has a probability of 37.61% and a draw has a probability of 20.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (6.2%) and 0-1 (5.19%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win is 2-1 (6.71%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (8.15%).

Result

Atletico Madrid 37.61% (-1.04)
Draw 20.59% (+0.04)
Barcelona 41.75% (+0.94)

Both Teams to Score: 

64.58% (-1.58)

Goals

Over 1.5 85.52% (-0.86)
Under 1.5 14.48% (+0.87)
Over 2.5 66.27% (-1.53)
Under 2.5 33.73% (+1.52)
Over 3.5 45.77% (-3.27)
Under 3.5 54.23% (+3.27)
Over 4.5 29.81% (-2.23)
Under 4.5 70.19% (+2.22)

First Half Winner

Atletico Madrid 32.57% (-2.22)
Draw 33.87% (+1.00)
Barcelona 33.56% (+1.22)

Team To Score First

Atletico Madrid 51.03% (-0.52)
No Goal 3.46% (+0.46)
Barcelona 45.51% (+0.06)

Corners

Over 8 63.17% (+1.04)
Equal 8 10.76% (+0.11)
Under 8 26.06% (-1.16)
Over 9 51.73% (+0.81)
Equal 9 11.44% (+0.22)
Under 9 36.83% (-1.04)
Over 10.5 40.57% (+0.54)
Under 10.5 59.43% (-0.54)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 1.5 44.89% (-2.41)
Under 1.5 55.11% (+2.41)
Over 2.5 23.01% (-1.72)
Under 2.5 76.99% (+1.72)
Over 3.5 9.1% (-0.63)
Under 3.5 90.9% (+0.63)

Barcelona Goals

Over 0.5 74.4% (-0.42)
Under 0.5 25.6% (+0.43)
Over 1.5 49.5% (-0.64)
Under 1.5 50.5% (+0.64)
Over 2.5 24.21% (-0.78)
Under 2.5 75.79% (+0.79)
Over 3.5 10.71% (-0.15)
Under 3.5 89.29% (+0.16)

Score analysis

Atletico Madrid 37.62%
Draw 20.59%
Barcelona 41.76%
Atletico Madrid
2-1 @ 6.71% (+0.05)
1-0 @ 5.8% (+0.11)
2-0 @ 4.88% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.85% (-0.54)
3-2 @ 3.95% (-0.46)
3-0 @ 2.74% (+0.47)
Other @ 8.69% (-0.65)
Total : 37.62%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.15% (+0.46)
2-2 @ 6.2% (-0.32)
0-0 @ 3.46% (+0.46)
3-3 @ 2.37% (-0.57)
Other @ 0.41% (+0.02)
Total : 20.59%
Barcelona
1-2 @ 8.94% (+0.73)
0-2 @ 6.2% (+0.21)
0-1 @ 5.19% (+0.25)
1-3 @ 4.92% (-0.18)
2-3 @ 4.09% (-0.41)
0-3 @ 2.12% (+0.52)
Other @ 10.3% (-0.17)
Total : 41.76%

Head to Head

La Liga
Dec 2, 2025 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Raphinha 26' goal
  • Gerard Martin Langreo 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Dani Olmo 65' goal
  • Ferran Torres 90'+6' goal
  • goal Alex Baena 19'
  • yellowcard Alex Baena 41'
Copa del Rey
Apr 2, 2025 8.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
  • Cesar Azpilicueta 6' yellowcard
  • Diego Simeone 9' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo De Paul 13' yellowcard
  • Reinildo Mandava 31' yellowcard
  • Julian Alvarez 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Nahuel Molina 59' yellowcard
  • goal Ferran Torres 27'
  • yellowcard Frenkie de Jong 35'
  • yellowcard Alejandro Balde 68'
La Liga Gameweek 28
Mar 16, 2025 8.00pm
2
4
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
  • Reinildo Mandava 36' yellowcard
  • Julian Alvarez 45' goal
  • Alexander Sorloth 70' goal
  • yellowcard Jules Kounde 26'
  • yellowcard Alejandro Balde 64'
  • goal Robert Lewandowski 72'
  • goal Ferran Torres 78'
  • goal Lamine Yamal 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Lamine Yamal 90'+3'
  • goal Ferran Torres 90'+8'
Copa del Rey
Feb 25, 2025 8.30pm
4
4
HT : 3 2
FT Estadi Olimpic Lluis Companys
  • Pedri 19' goal
  • Pau Cubarsi 21' goal
  • Inigo Martinez 41' goal
  • Robert Lewandowski 74' goal
  • goal Julian Alvarez 1'
  • goal Antoine Griezmann 6'
  • yellowcard Javi Galan 16'
  • yellowcard Diego Simeone 70'
  • yellowcard Jose Gimenez 82'
  • goal Marcos Llorente 84'
  • yellowcard Pablo Barrios 88'
  • yellowcard Alexander Sorloth 90'+1'
  • goal Alexander Sorloth 90'+3'
La Liga Gameweek 18
Dec 21, 2024 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Estadi Olimpic Lluis Companys
  • Pedri 30' goal
  • yellowcard Axel Witsel 54'
  • goal Rodrigo De Paul 60'
  • yellowcard Robin Le Normand 77'
  • goal Alexander Sorloth 90'+6'
  • yellowcard Jose Gimenez 90'+7'
La Liga Gameweek 29
Mar 17, 2024 8.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
  • Rodrigo De Paul 46' yellowcard
  • Stefan Savic 61' yellowcard
  • Pablo Barrios 89' yellowcard
  • Nahuel Molina 90'+2' redcard
  • yellowcard Jules Kounde 33'
  • goal Joao Felix 38'
  • yellowcard Xavi 41'
  • redcard Xavi 42'
  • goal Robert Lewandowski 47'
  • goal Fermin Lopez 65'

Build-up

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