Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 56.05%. A win for Bodo/Glimt had a probability of 23.69% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.05%) and 2-0 (9.18%). The likeliest Bodo/Glimt win was 1-2 (5.86%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.