Copa del Rey
Mar 3, 2026 8.00pm
Camp Nou

Barcelona vs Atletico Madrid - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Barcelona

All competitions
Copa del Rey
Last game
Feb 12, 2026 8.00pm
Atletico 4 - 0 Barcelona

Atletico Madrid

All competitions
Copa del Rey
Last game
Feb 12, 2026 8.00pm
Atletico 4 - 0 Barcelona

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Barcelona win with a probability of 62.8%. A draw has a probability of 20.69% and a win for Atletico Madrid has a probability of 16.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.05%) and 1-0 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.05%) , while for a Atletico Madrid win it is 1-2 (4.44%).

Result

Barcelona 62.8%
Draw 20.69%
Atletico Madrid 16.51%

Both Teams to Score: 

54.49%

Goals

Over 1.5 83.57%
Under 1.5 16.43%
Over 2.5 62.76%
Under 2.5 37.24%
Over 3.5 42.29%
Under 3.5 57.71%
Over 4.5 26.88%
Under 4.5 73.12%

First Half Winner

Barcelona 42.99%
Draw 35.72%
Atletico Madrid 21.29%

Team To Score First

Barcelona 60.64%
No Goal 4.19%
Atletico Madrid 35.17%

Corners

Over 8 64.44%
Equal 8 9.57%
Under 8 25.98%
Over 9 54.17%
Equal 9 10.27%
Under 9 35.56%
Over 10.5 43.95%
Under 10.5 56.05%

Barcelona Goals

Over 1.5 63.53%
Under 1.5 36.47%
Over 2.5 37.52%
Under 2.5 62.48%
Over 3.5 18%
Under 3.5 82%

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5 53.96%
Under 0.5 46.04%
Over 1.5 23.93%
Under 1.5 76.07%
Over 2.5 7.45%
Under 2.5 92.55%
Over 3.5 2.39%
Under 3.5 97.61%

Score analysis

Barcelona 62.79%
Draw 20.69%
Atletico Madrid 16.52%
Barcelona
2-1 @ 9.38%
2-0 @ 9.05%
1-0 @ 8.58%
3-1 @ 7.94%
3-0 @ 6.59%
3-2 @ 3.62%
Other @ 17.63%
Total : 62.79%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.05%
2-2 @ 5.71%
0-0 @ 4.19%
3-3 @ 1.37%
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 20.69%
Atletico Madrid
1-2 @ 4.44%
0-1 @ 3.66%
0-2 @ 2.71%
2-3 @ 1.87%
1-3 @ 1.76%
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 16.52%

Head to Head

Copa del Rey
Feb 12, 2026 8.00pm
4
0
HT : 6 0
FT Riyadh Air Metropolitano
  • Eric Garcia 6' goal
  • Eric García 7' goal
  • Antoine Griezmann 14' goal
  • Ademola Lookman 33' goal
  • Julian Alvarez 45'+2' goal
  • Julián Alvarez 45'+2' goal
  • Alexander Sorloth 68' yellowcard
  • Alex Baena 68' yellowcard
  • Álex Baena 68' yellowcard
  • Alexander Sørloth 68' yellowcard
  • Thiago Almada 73' yellowcard
  • Robin Le Normand 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Robert Lewandowski 37'
  • yellowcard Ronald Araujo 77'
  • yellowcard Joao Cancelo 77'
  • yellowcard João Cancelo 77'
  • yellowcard Gerard Martin Langreo 87'
  • yellowcard Gerard Martín 87'
  • yellowcard Gerard Martin Langreo 88'
La Liga
Dec 2, 2025 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Raphinha 26' goal
  • Gerard Martin Langreo 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Dani Olmo 65' goal
  • Ferran Torres 90'+6' goal
  • goal Alex Baena 19'
  • yellowcard Alex Baena 41'
Copa del Rey
Apr 2, 2025 8.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
  • Cesar Azpilicueta 6' yellowcard
  • Diego Simeone 9' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo De Paul 13' yellowcard
  • Reinildo Mandava 31' yellowcard
  • Julian Alvarez 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Nahuel Molina 59' yellowcard
  • goal Ferran Torres 27'
  • yellowcard Frenkie de Jong 35'
  • yellowcard Alejandro Balde 68'
La Liga Gameweek 28
Mar 16, 2025 8.00pm
2
4
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
  • Reinildo Mandava 36' yellowcard
  • Julian Alvarez 45' goal
  • Alexander Sorloth 70' goal
  • yellowcard Jules Kounde 26'
  • yellowcard Alejandro Balde 64'
  • goal Robert Lewandowski 72'
  • goal Ferran Torres 78'
  • goal Lamine Yamal 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Lamine Yamal 90'+3'
  • goal Ferran Torres 90'+8'
Copa del Rey
Feb 25, 2025 8.30pm
4
4
HT : 3 2
FT Estadi Olimpic Lluis Companys
  • Pedri 19' goal
  • Pau Cubarsi 21' goal
  • Inigo Martinez 41' goal
  • Robert Lewandowski 74' goal
  • goal Julian Alvarez 1'
  • goal Antoine Griezmann 6'
  • yellowcard Javi Galan 16'
  • yellowcard Diego Simeone 70'
  • yellowcard Jose Gimenez 82'
  • goal Marcos Llorente 84'
  • yellowcard Pablo Barrios 88'
  • yellowcard Alexander Sorloth 90'+1'
  • goal Alexander Sorloth 90'+3'
La Liga Gameweek 18
Dec 21, 2024 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Estadi Olimpic Lluis Companys
  • Pedri 30' goal
  • yellowcard Axel Witsel 54'
  • goal Rodrigo De Paul 60'
  • yellowcard Robin Le Normand 77'
  • goal Alexander Sorloth 90'+6'
  • yellowcard Jose Gimenez 90'+7'