Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 65.26%. A draw had a probability of 20.22% and a win for Espanyol had a probability of 14.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.69%) and 2-1 (10.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.48%) , while for a Espanyol win it was 0-1 (4.5%).