Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Brugge win with a probability of 39.84%. A win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 36.47% and a draw had a probability of 23.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Brugge win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.86%) and 2-0 (5.82%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win was 1-2 (7.79%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.