Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 41.8%. A win for Club Brugge had a probability of 33.75% and a draw had a probability of 24.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.15%) and 2-0 (5.39%). The likeliest Club Brugge win was 1-2 (7.63%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.