Champions League
Jan 28, 2026 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Lotto Park
  • Mohammed Fuseini 57' yellowcard
  • Rob Schoofs 57' yellowcard
  • Anan Khalaili 70' goal
  • Ousseynou Niang 85' yellowcard
  • Fedde Leysen 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kamal Deen Sulemana 51'
  • yellowcard Kamaldeen Sulemana 51'
  • yellowcard Lazar Samardzic 52'
  • yellowcard Marten de Roon 52'
  • yellowcard Kamal Deen Sulemana 52'
  • yellowcard Charles De Ketelaere 52'
  • yellowcard Gianluca Scamacca 61'
  • yellowcard Gianluca Scamacca 62'
  • yellowcard Mario Pasalic 74'
  • yellowcard Mario Pašalić 74'

Union SG vs Atalanta BC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Union SG

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Jan 21, 2026 8.00pm
Bayern 2 - 0 Union SG

Atalanta BC

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Jan 21, 2026 8.00pm
Atalanta 2 - 3 Athletic Bilbao

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 40.27%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 34.87% and a draw had a probability of 24.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (6.38%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 1-2 (8.27%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.

Result

Union SG 40.27%
Draw 24.83% (-0.04)
Atalanta BC 34.87% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.13% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.06% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 23.94% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 52.6%
Under 2.5 47.4%
Over 3.5 28.98%
Under 3.5 71.02%
Over 4.5 16.43%
Under 4.5 83.57%

First Half Winner

Union SG 29.29%
Draw 44.12%
Atalanta BC 26.6%

Team To Score First

Union SG 51.96%
No Goal 6.55% (-0.01)
Atalanta BC 41.49% (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 49.76%
Equal 8 11.14%
Under 8 39.09%
Over 9 39.07%
Equal 9 10.7%
Under 9 50.24%
Over 10.5 29.58%
Under 10.5 70.42%

Union SG Goals

Over 1.5 39.96%
Under 1.5 60.04%
Over 2.5 16.83% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 83.17% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 5.8% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 94.2% (-0.01)

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5 68.54% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 31.46% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 35.77% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 64.23% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 14.51% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 85.49% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 4.6%
Under 3.5 95.4%

Score analysis

Union SG 40.26%
Draw 24.83%
Atalanta BC 34.86%
Union SG
1-0 @ 9.27% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.06%
2-0 @ 6.38% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.84% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.53%
3-2 @ 2.5%
Other @ 5.68% (+0.01)
Total : 40.26%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.8% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.55% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.2%
3-3 @ 1.16% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.83%
Atalanta BC
1-2 @ 8.27% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 8.07% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5.29% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 3.51%
0-3 @ 2.75%
2-3 @ 2.49%
Other @ 4.48%
Total : 34.86%