Champions League Gameweek 8
Jan 28, 2026 8.00pm
Lotto Park

Union SG vs Atalanta BC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Union SG

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Jan 21, 2026 8.00pm
Bayern 2 - 0 Union SG

Atalanta BC

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Jan 21, 2026 8.00pm
Atalanta 2 - 3 Athletic Bilbao

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Union SG win with a probability of 40.24%. A win for Atalanta BC has a probability of 34.89% and a draw has a probability of 24.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (6.37%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win is 1-2 (8.28%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.8%).

Result

Union SG 40.24% (-0.36)
Draw 24.84% (+0.15)
Atalanta BC 34.89% (+0.24)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.17% (-0.47)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.13% (-0.38)
Under 1.5 23.87% (+0.38)
Over 2.5 52.67% (-0.56)
Under 2.5 47.33% (+0.56)
Over 3.5 29.05% (-0.60)
Under 3.5 70.95% (+0.61)
Over 4.5 16.48% (-0.51)
Under 4.5 83.52% (+0.51)

First Half Winner

Union SG 29.36%
Draw 44.1%
Atalanta BC 26.54%

Team To Score First

Union SG 51.97% (-0.08)
No Goal 6.53% (+0.13)
Atalanta BC 41.5% (-0.05)

Corners

Over 8 49.77%
Equal 8 11.15%
Under 8 39.08%
Over 9 39.07%
Equal 9 10.7%
Under 9 50.23%
Over 10.5 29.57%
Under 10.5 70.43%

Union SG Goals

Over 1.5 39.99% (-0.61)
Under 1.5 60.01% (+0.61)
Over 2.5 16.85% (-0.51)
Under 2.5 83.15% (+0.52)
Over 3.5 5.81% (-0.30)
Under 3.5 94.19% (+0.29)

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5 68.6% (+0.08)
Under 0.5 31.4% (-0.09)
Over 1.5 35.84% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 64.16% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 14.56% (-0.10)
Under 2.5 85.44% (+0.10)
Over 3.5 4.62% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 95.38% (+0.07)

Score analysis

Union SG 40.24%
Draw 24.83%
Atalanta BC 34.9%
Union SG
1-0 @ 9.25% (+0.10)
2-1 @ 9.06% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 6.37% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.84% (-0.08)
3-0 @ 3.53% (-0.04)
3-2 @ 2.5% (-0.09)
Other @ 5.69% (-0.28)
Total : 40.24%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.8% (+0.11)
0-0 @ 6.53% (+0.13)
2-2 @ 5.21% (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.17% (-0.05)
Other @ 0.12% (-0.02)
Total : 24.83%
Atalanta BC
1-2 @ 8.28% (+0.05)
0-1 @ 8.06% (+0.16)
0-2 @ 5.29% (+0.09)
1-3 @ 3.52% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 2.75% (+0.05)
2-3 @ 2.5% (-0.05)
Other @ 4.5% (-0.06)
Total : 34.9%