La Liga
Gameweek
24
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-
Fran Pérez
40'
-
Óscar Valentín
45'
-
Pedro Díaz
64'
-
Álvaro García
64'
-
Jozhua Vertrouwd
64'
-
Randy Nteka
74'
-
Nobel Mendy
76'
-
Unai López
83'
-
Álvaro García
90'+2'
-
Johnny Cardoso
29'
-
Rodrigo Mendoza
52'
-
Obed Vargas
56'
-
Julián Alvarez
56'
-
Robin Le Normand
56'
-
Marcos Llorente
63'
-
Ademola Lookman
63'
-
Marcos Llorente
70'
Rayo Vallecano vs Atletico Madrid - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 48.82%. A draw had a probability of 26.69% and a win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.24%) and 1-2 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.58%) , while for a Rayo Vallecano win it was 1-0 (7.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
Result
Rayo Vallecano
24.5%
▼
(-0.97)
Draw
26.69%
▼
(-0.42)
Atletico Madrid
48.82%
▲
(+1.40)
Both Teams to Score:
44.88%
▲
(+2.49)
Goals
Over 1.5
68.08%
▲
(+2.77)
Under 1.5
31.92%
▼
(-2.76)
Over 2.5
42.55%
▲
(+2.91)
Under 2.5
57.45%
▼
(-2.91)
Over 3.5
21.3%
▲
(+1.52)
Under 3.5
78.7%
▼
(-1.52)
Over 4.5
11.24%
▲
(+0.84)
Under 4.5
88.76%
▼
(-0.84)
First Half Winner
Rayo Vallecano
24.5%
▼
(-1.15)
Draw
44.35%
▼
(-0.04)
Atletico Madrid
31.16%
▲
(+1.18)
Team To Score First
Rayo Vallecano
41.54%
▼
(-0.54)
No Goal
10.26%
▼
(-1.15)
Atletico Madrid
48.2%
▲
(+1.68)
Corners
Over 8
59.32%
▲
(+0.42)
Equal 8
11.55%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 8
29.13%
▼
(-0.38)
Over 9
47.4%
▲
(+0.41)
Equal 9
11.92%
Under 9
40.68%
▼
(-0.42)
Over 10.5
36.14%
▲
(+0.36)
Under 10.5
63.86%
▼
(-0.36)
Rayo Vallecano Goals
Over 1.5
23.61%
▲
(+0.34)
Under 1.5
76.39%
▼
(-0.35)
Over 2.5
7.58%
▼
(-0.25)
Under 2.5
92.42%
▲
(+0.25)
Over 3.5
1.97%
▼
(-0.12)
Under 3.5
98.03%
▲
(+0.11)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5
74.56%
▲
(+2.05)
Under 0.5
25.44%
▼
(-2.05)
Over 1.5
41.26%
▲
(+3.04)
Under 1.5
58.74%
▼
(-3.04)
Over 2.5
16.61%
▲
(+1.87)
Under 2.5
83.39%
▼
(-1.88)
Over 3.5
5.2%
▲
(+0.74)
Under 3.5
94.8%
▼
(-0.74)
Score analysis
Rayo Vallecano
24.49%
Draw
26.7%
Atletico Madrid
48.8%
Rayo Vallecano
1-0
@
7.85%
▼
(-0.44)
2-1 @ 6% ▲ (+0.22)
2-0 @ 3.72% ▼ (-0.41)
3-1 @ 1.92% ▼ (-0.19)
3-0 @ 1.68% ▲ (+0.09)
3-2 @ 1.4% ▼ (-0.11)
Other @ 1.92% ▼ (-0.15)
Total : 24.49%
2-1 @ 6% ▲ (+0.22)
2-0 @ 3.72% ▼ (-0.41)
3-1 @ 1.92% ▼ (-0.19)
3-0 @ 1.68% ▲ (+0.09)
3-2 @ 1.4% ▼ (-0.11)
Other @ 1.92% ▼ (-0.15)
Total : 24.49%
Draw
1-1
@
11.58%
▲
(+0.17)
0-0 @ 10.26% ▼ (-1.15)
2-2 @ 4.2% ▲ (+0.48)
Other @ 0.05% ▲ (+0.04)
Total : 26.7%
0-0 @ 10.26% ▼ (-1.15)
2-2 @ 4.2% ▲ (+0.48)
Other @ 0.05% ▲ (+0.04)
Total : 26.7%
Atletico Madrid
0-1
@
13.8%
▼
(-1.18)
0-2 @ 10.24% ▲ (+0.11)
1-2 @ 8.81% ▲ (+0.68)
0-3 @ 4.75% ▲ (+0.41)
1-3 @ 3.94% ▲ (+0.38)
2-3 @ 2.11% ▲ (+0.31)
Other @ 5.15% ▲ (+0.70)
Total : 48.8%
0-2 @ 10.24% ▲ (+0.11)
1-2 @ 8.81% ▲ (+0.68)
0-3 @ 4.75% ▲ (+0.41)
1-3 @ 3.94% ▲ (+0.38)
2-3 @ 2.11% ▲ (+0.31)
Other @ 5.15% ▲ (+0.70)
Total : 48.8%
Head to Head
La Liga
Gameweek
6
-
Julián Alvarez
15'
-
Koke
50'
-
Julián Alvarez
80'
-
Marcos Llorente
86'
-
Julián Alvarez
88'
-
Robin Le Normand
90'+6'
-
Pep Chavarría
45'+1'
-
Iván Balliu
54'
-
Álvaro García
77'
-
Pep Chavarría
87'
-
Pathé Ciss
90'+2'
-
Andrei Rațiu
90'+7'
-
Sergio Camello
90'+8'
La Liga
Gameweek
33
-
Alexander Sorloth
3'
-
Conor Gallagher
45'
-
Julian Alvarez
77'
-
Andrei Ratiu
66'
-
Augusto Batalla
79'
La Liga
Gameweek
6
-
Isi
35'
-
Conor Gallagher
49'
La Liga
Gameweek
20
-
Reinildo Mandava
35'
-
Memphis Depay
90'
-
Diego Simeone
90'+2'
-
Kike Perez
38'
-
Alvaro Garcia
42'
-
Isi
60'
-
Francisco
90'+1'
-
Pep Chavarria
90'+3'
La Liga
Gameweek
3
-
Isi
39'
-
Florian Lejeune
65'
-
Alfonso Espino
81'
-
Ivan Balliu
88'
-
Antoine Griezmann
2'
-
Memphis Depay
16'
-
Nahuel Molina
36'
-
Pablo Barrios
49'
-
Alvaro Morata
73'
-
Antoine Griezmann
75'
-
Angel Correa
79'
-
Alvaro Morata
84'
-
Marcos Llorente
86'
-
Mario Hermoso
87'
La Liga
Gameweek
28
-
Fran Garcia
85'
-
Nahuel Molina
22'
-
Mario Hermoso
24'