La Liga Gameweek 21
Jan 24, 2026 1.00pm
Estadio de Vallecas

Rayo Vallecano vs Osasuna - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Rayo Vallecano

All competitions
Last game
Jan 11, 2026 1.00pm
Rayo Vallecano 1 - 0 Mallorca
Goals scored
15
Top scorer
Nobel Mendy

Osasuna

All competitions
Last game
Jan 17, 2026 5.30pm
Osasuna 1 - 1 Real Oviedo
Goals scored
19
Top scorer
Ante Budimir

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 52.56%. A draw has a probability of 26.44% and a win for Osasuna has a probability of 21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win is 1-0 with a probability of 14.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.18%) and 2-1 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.98%) , while for a Osasuna win it is 0-1 (7.76%).

Result

Rayo Vallecano 52.56% (-0.10)
Draw 26.44% (-0.02)
Osasuna 21% (+0.13)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.89% (+0.18)

Goals

Over 1.5 68% (+0.13)
Under 1.5 32% (-0.14)
Over 2.5 42.57% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 57.4% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 21.85% (+0.07)
Under 3.5 78.15% (-0.06)
Over 4.5 11.89% (+0.03)
Under 4.5 88.11% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Rayo Vallecano 42.07% (-0.01)
Draw 41.4% (-0.03)
Osasuna 16.53% (+0.04)

Team To Score First

Rayo Vallecano 60.45% (-0.06)
No Goal 9.86% (-0.07)
Osasuna 29.69% (+0.13)

Corners

Over 8 62.32% (+0.28)
Equal 8 11.3%
Under 8 26.38% (-0.27)
Over 9 50.35% (+0.24)
Equal 9 11.96% (+0.04)
Under 9 37.68% (-0.28)
Over 10.5 38.79% (+0.18)
Under 10.5 61.21% (-0.18)

Rayo Vallecano Goals

Over 1.5 43.97% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 56.03% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 19.19% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 80.81% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 6.77% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 93.23% (+0.02)

Osasuna Goals

Over 0.5 53.79% (+0.18)
Under 0.5 46.21% (-0.18)
Over 1.5 20.16% (+0.17)
Under 1.5 79.84% (-0.16)
Over 2.5 5.17% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 94.83% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 1.1% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 98.9% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Rayo Vallecano 52.55%
Draw 26.46%
Osasuna 21.01%
Rayo Vallecano
1-0 @ 14.4% (-0.09)
2-0 @ 10.18%
2-1 @ 9.33% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 5.03% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.56% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.29% (+0.02)
Other @ 6.76% (-0.01)
Total : 52.55%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.98% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 9.86% (-0.07)
2-2 @ 4.07% (+0.04)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 26.46%
Osasuna
0-1 @ 7.76% (+0.03)
1-2 @ 5.37% (+0.04)
0-2 @ 3.26% (+0.05)
1-3 @ 1.35% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 1.09% (+0.02)
Total : 21.01%

Head to Head

La Liga
Sep 14, 2025 5.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
La Liga Gameweek 20
Jan 19, 2025 5.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio El Sadar
  • Pablo Ibanez 40' yellowcard
  • Raul Garcia 59' goal
  • Jon Moncayola 72' yellowcard
  • Jesus Areso 81' yellowcard
  • goal Sergio Camello 19'
  • yellowcard Oscar Valentin 38'
  • yellowcard Augusto Batalla 84'
La Liga Gameweek 5
Sep 16, 2024 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio de Vallecas
  • Abdul Mumin 50' goal
  • Sergio Camello 59' yellowcard
  • Andrei Ratiu 66' goal
  • Abdul Mumin 78' yellowcard
  • Unai Lopez 89' yellowcard
  • Unai Lopez 90'+5' goal
  • yellowcard Bryan Zaragoza 19'
  • yellowcard Vicente Moreno 20'
  • goal Raul Garcia 27'
  • yellowcard Jon Moncayola 42'
La Liga Gameweek 32
Apr 20, 2024 3.15pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio de Vallecas
  • Oscar Valentin 45' yellowcard
  • Unai Lopez 46' yellowcard
  • Pathe Ciss 51' yellowcard
  • Pep Chavarria 80' goal
  • Isi 84' goal
  • Isi 86' yellowcard
  • goal Moi Gomez 29'
  • yellowcard Iker Munoz 48'
La Liga Gameweek 17
Dec 15, 2023 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio El Sadar (Pamplona (Irunea))
  • Jose Arnaiz 74' yellowcard
  • Raul Garcia 90'+5' goal
  • Raul Garcia 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alfonso Espino 40'
  • yellowcard Pathe Ciss 55'
  • yellowcard Kike Perez 55'
La Liga Gameweek 29
Apr 14, 2023 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio de Vallecas
  • Aridane Hernandez 40' goal
  • Isi 43' goal
  • goal Moi Gomez 66'