Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Barcelona win with a probability of 50.88%. A win for Athletic Bilbao has a probability of 26.51% and a draw has a probability of 22.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (7.69%) and 0-2 (7.28%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win is 2-1 (6.5%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.85%).