Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 50.88%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 26.51% and a draw had a probability of 22.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.68%) and 0-2 (7.27%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 2-1 (6.5%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.