La Liga Gameweek 27
Mar 7, 2026 8.00pm
San Mamés Barria

Athletic Bilbao vs Barcelona - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions
Last game
Feb 28, 2026 1.00pm
Rayo Vallecano 1 - 1 Athletic Bilbao
Goals scored
30
Top scorer
Gorka Guruzeta

Barcelona

All competitions
Last game
Feb 28, 2026 3.15pm
Barcelona 4 - 1 Villarreal
Goals scored
71
Top scorer
Lamine Yamal

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Barcelona win with a probability of 50.88%. A win for Athletic Bilbao has a probability of 26.51% and a draw has a probability of 22.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (7.69%) and 0-2 (7.28%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win is 2-1 (6.5%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.85%).

Result

Athletic Bilbao 26.51% (+0.50)
Draw 22.64% (+0.13)
Barcelona 50.88% (-0.59)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.68% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 82.77% (-0.17)
Under 1.5 17.23% (+0.17)
Over 2.5 62.28% (-0.26)
Under 2.5 37.72% (+0.26)
Over 3.5 40.46% (-0.33)
Under 3.5 59.54% (+0.33)
Over 4.5 25.22% (-0.29)
Under 4.5 74.78% (+0.29)

First Half Winner

Athletic Bilbao 25.51% (-0.01)
Draw 40.04%
Barcelona 34.44%

Team To Score First

Athletic Bilbao 42.49% (-0.01)
No Goal 4.31% (+0.05)
Barcelona 53.2% (-0.03)

Corners

Over 8 59.03% (+0.08)
Equal 8 10.84% (+0.01)
Under 8 30.12% (-0.10)
Over 9 47.88% (+0.07)
Equal 9 11.15% (+0.02)
Under 9 40.97% (-0.08)
Over 10.5 37.3% (+0.03)
Under 10.5 62.7% (-0.03)

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 1.5 33.77% (+0.37)
Under 1.5 66.23% (-0.36)
Over 2.5 13.56% (+0.18)
Under 2.5 86.44% (-0.19)
Over 3.5 4.44% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 95.56% (-0.08)

Barcelona Goals

Over 0.5 81.55% (-0.33)
Under 0.5 18.45% (+0.33)
Over 1.5 54.45% (-0.66)
Under 1.5 45.55% (+0.66)
Over 2.5 28.61% (-0.57)
Under 2.5 71.39% (+0.57)
Over 3.5 12.47% (-0.37)
Under 3.5 87.53% (+0.38)

Score analysis

Athletic Bilbao 26.51%
Draw 22.62%
Barcelona 50.89%
Athletic Bilbao
2-1 @ 6.5% (+0.13)
1-0 @ 5.25% (+0.09)
2-0 @ 3.37% (+0.09)
3-1 @ 3.06% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 2.79% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 1.45% (+0.06)
Other @ 4.09% (+0.10)
Total : 26.51%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.85% (+0.10)
2-2 @ 6.29% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.31% (+0.05)
3-3 @ 1.82% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.35% (-0.03)
Total : 22.62%
Barcelona
1-2 @ 9.48% (-0.03)
0-1 @ 7.69% (+0.07)
0-2 @ 7.28% (-0.09)
1-3 @ 5.88% (-0.09)
0-3 @ 4.39% (-0.08)
2-3 @ 4.05% (-0.03)
Other @ 12.12% (-0.36)
Total : 50.89%

Head to Head

Supercopa de Espana
Jan 7, 2026 7.00pm
5
0
HT : 0 0
FT
La Liga
Nov 22, 2025 3.15pm
4
0
HT : 0 0
FT
La Liga Gameweek 38
May 25, 2025 8.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 3
FT San Mames Barria
  • Yuri Berchiche 75' yellowcard
  • goal Robert Lewandowski 14'
  • goal Robert Lewandowski 14'
  • goal Robert Lewandowski 17'
  • goal Dani Olmo 90'+4'
Supercopa de Espana
Jan 8, 2025 7.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT King Abdullah Sports City
  • Alex Berenguer 50' yellowcard
  • Jules Kounde 76' yellowcard
  • goal Gavi 17'
  • goal Lamine Yamal 52'
La Liga Gameweek 2
Aug 24, 2024 6.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estadi Olimpic Lluis Companys
  • Lamine Yamal 24' goal
  • Pau Cubarsi 41' yellowcard
  • Marc Bernal Casas 49' yellowcard
  • Robert Lewandowski 75' goal
  • Robert Lewandowski 85' yellowcard
  • Fermin Lopez 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Yeray Alvarez 38'
  • goal Oihan Sancet 42'
  • yellowcard Alex Berenguer 56'
  • yellowcard Inigo Lekue 87'
  • yellowcard Ander Herrera 90'+6'
  • yellowcard Mikel Jauregizar 90'+6'
La Liga Gameweek 27
Mar 3, 2024 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT San Mames Barria
  • Dani Garcia 52' yellowcard
  • Imanol 65' yellowcard
  • Alex Berenguer 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ronald Araujo 32'
  • yellowcard Xavi 33'
  • yellowcard Andreas Christensen 62'
  • yellowcard Jules Kounde 88'