La Liga Gameweek 25
Feb 20, 2026 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT San Mamés Barria
  • Gorka Guruzeta 64' goal
  • Eder García 70' yellowcard
  • Mikel Vesga 70' yellowcard
  • Robert Navarro 75' yellowcard
  • Jesús Areso 80' yellowcard
  • Urko Izeta 80' yellowcard
  • Gorka Guruzeta 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard André Silva 69'
  • yellowcard Rafa Mir 75'
  • yellowcard Buba Sangaré 75'
  • yellowcard Léo Pétrot 75'
  • yellowcard David Affengruber 75'
  • yellowcard Adrià Pedrosa 81'
  • yellowcard Adam Boayar 90'
  • yellowcard Adam Boayar 90'+3'

Athletic Bilbao vs Elche - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions
Last game
Feb 15, 2026 1.00pm
Real Oviedo 1 - 2 Athletic Bilbao
Goals scored
30
Top scorer
Gorka Guruzeta

Elche

All competitions
Last game
Feb 13, 2026 8.00pm
Elche 0 - 0 Osasuna
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
German Valera

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 51.82%. A draw had a probability of 26.25% and a win for Elche had a probability of 21.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.22%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.84%) , while for a Elche win it was 0-1 (7.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.

Result

Athletic Bilbao 51.82%
Draw 26.25%
Elche 21.89% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.48%

Goals

Over 1.5 69.41% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 30.59% (+0.06)
Over 2.5 44.19% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 55.78% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 22.29% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 77.67% (-0.02)
Over 4.5 11.82%
Under 4.5 88.18%

First Half Winner

Athletic Bilbao 33.97%
Draw 44.24% (+0.02)
Elche 21.79% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Athletic Bilbao 55.01%
No Goal 9.18%
Elche 35.81%

Corners

Over 8 50.37% (-0.02)
Equal 8 12.35%
Under 8 37.29% (+0.02)
Over 9 38.49% (-0.01)
Equal 9 11.87% (-0.02)
Under 9 49.63% (+0.02)
Over 10.5 28.03% (-0.01)
Under 10.5 71.97% (+0.02)

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 1.5 44.44%
Under 1.5 55.56%
Over 2.5 19.05% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 80.95% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 6.36%
Under 3.5 93.64%

Elche Goals

Over 0.5 55.19% (-0.06)
Under 0.5 44.81% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 21.74%
Under 1.5 78.26%
Over 2.5 6.2% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 93.8% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 1.4%
Under 3.5 98.6%

Score analysis

Athletic Bilbao 51.82%
Draw 26.24%
Elche 21.88%
Athletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 13.9% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 10.22% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.56%
3-0 @ 5.21% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.6% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.09%
Other @ 6.24% (-0.01)
Total : 51.82%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.84% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 9.18%
2-2 @ 4.31%
Other @ 0.12% (+0.01)
Total : 26.24%
Elche
0-1 @ 7.45% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 5.97%
0-2 @ 3.17% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.56%
2-3 @ 1.3%
0-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 1.28% (-0.02)
Total : 21.88%

Head to Head

La Liga
Oct 19, 2025 1.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
La Liga Gameweek 37
May 28, 2023 6.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT San Mamés Barria
  • goal Lucas Boye 90'+2'
La Liga Gameweek 5
Sep 11, 2022 3.15pm
1
4
HT : 0 4
FT Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero
  • Ezequiel Ponce 59' goal
  • goal Nicolas Fernandez 9' (OG)
  • goal Oihan Sancet 14'
  • goal Nico Williams 22'
  • goal Alex Berenguer 44'
La Liga Gameweek 30
Apr 3, 2022 1.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Alex Berenguer 32' goal
  • Mikel Vesga 50' yellowcard
  • Asier Villalibre 86' goal
  • Unai Nunez 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Pedro Bigas 47'
  • yellowcard Ivan Marcone 56'
  • yellowcard Guido Carrillo 61'
  • yellowcard Josan 67'
  • goal Josan 90'+2'
La Liga Gameweek 1
Aug 16, 2021 9.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero
  • Gonzalo 6' yellowcard
  • Raul Guti 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Oscar de Marcos 20'
  • yellowcard Dani Garcia 63'
La Liga Gameweek 38
May 22, 2021 5.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Lucas Boye 28' goal
  • Omenuke Mfulu 33' yellowcard
  • Pablo Piatti 58' yellowcard
  • Raul Guti 73' goal
  • Raul Guti 74' yellowcard