Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 49.25%. A draw had a probability of 25.78% and a win for Elche had a probability of 24.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.48%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.87%) , while for a Elche win it was 0-1 (7.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.