Copa del Rey
Feb 4, 2026 8.00pm
Estadio de Mendizorroza

Alaves vs Real Sociedad - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Alaves

All competitions

Real Sociedad

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 44%. A draw has a probability of 29.37% and a win for Alaves has a probability of 26.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win is 0-1 with a probability of 13.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (8.84%) and 1-2 (8.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (13.81%) , while for a Alaves win it is 1-0 (10.02%).

Result

Alaves 26.63% (+2.16)
Draw 29.37% (+0.20)
Real Sociedad 44% (-2.36)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.27% (+0.33)

Goals

Over 1.5 66.07% (-0.40)
Under 1.5 33.93% (+0.40)
Over 2.5 38.71% (-0.40)
Under 2.5 61.29% (+0.40)
Over 3.5 19.8% (-0.24)
Under 3.5 80.19% (+0.24)
Over 4.5 9.68% (-0.34)
Under 4.5 90.32% (+0.34)

First Half Winner

Alaves 19.02% (+0.97)
Draw 51.42% (+0.79)
Real Sociedad 29.57% (-1.74)

Team To Score First

Alaves 35.84% (+1.22)
No Goal 10.75% (+0.09)
Real Sociedad 53.41% (-1.31)

Corners

Over 8 56.06% (+1.54)
Equal 8 11.84% (+0.11)
Under 8 32.09% (-1.67)
Over 9 44.16% (+1.28)
Equal 9 11.91% (+0.27)
Under 9 43.94% (-1.54)
Over 10.5 33.2% (+0.96)
Under 10.5 66.8% (-0.96)

Alaves Goals

Over 1.5 23.55% (+1.54)
Under 1.5 76.45% (-1.54)
Over 2.5 6.45% (+0.67)
Under 2.5 93.55% (-0.66)
Over 3.5 1.59% (+0.23)
Under 3.5 98.41% (-0.24)

Real Sociedad Goals

Over 0.5 71.78% (-1.58)
Under 0.5 28.22% (+1.58)
Over 1.5 36.91% (-2.00)
Under 1.5 63.09% (+2.00)
Over 2.5 14.02% (-1.26)
Under 2.5 85.98% (+1.27)
Over 3.5 4.24% (-0.64)
Under 3.5 95.76% (+0.65)

Score analysis

Alaves 26.64%
Draw 29.37%
Real Sociedad 44%
Alaves
1-0 @ 10.02% (+0.60)
2-1 @ 5.95% (+0.36)
2-0 @ 4.7% (+0.47)
3-1 @ 1.94% (+0.20)
3-2 @ 1.27% (+0.12)
3-0 @ 1.18% (+0.18)
Other @ 1.58% (+0.27)
Total : 26.64%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.81% (+0.14)
0-0 @ 10.75% (+0.09)
2-2 @ 4.33% (+0.09)
Other @ 0.01% (-0.04)
Total : 29.37%
Real Sociedad
0-1 @ 13.17% (-0.27)
0-2 @ 8.84% (-0.64)
1-2 @ 8.45% (-0.30)
1-3 @ 3.87% (-0.14)
0-3 @ 3.32% (-0.41)
2-3 @ 2.12% (-0.03)
Other @ 4.23% (-0.60)
Total : 44%

Head to Head

La Liga
Dec 6, 2025 3.15pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Lucas Boye 45'+4' goal
  • Ander Guevara 62' yellowcard
  • Nahuel Tenaglia 69' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jon Gorrotxategi Etxaniz 29'
  • yellowcard Jon Aramburu 39'
La Liga Gameweek 33
Apr 23, 2025 8.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio de Mendizorroza
  • Carlos Vicente 36' yellowcard
  • Tomas Conechny 47' yellowcard
  • Nahuel Tenaglia 65' goal
  • Antonio Sivera 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Antonio Blanco 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jon Aramburu 30'
  • yellowcard Arkaitz Mariezkurrena Etxezarreta 80'
  • yellowcard Orri Oskarsson 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Luka Sucic 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Aritz Elustondo 90'+5'
La Liga Gameweek 3
Aug 28, 2024 8.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Reale Arena
  • Jon Pacheco 16' yellowcard
  • Mikel Oyarzabal 29' redcard
  • Brais Mendez 32' goal
  • Igor Zubeldia 36' yellowcard
  • Takefusa Kubo 90'+7' yellowcard
  • Jon Martin Vicente 90'+7' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Stoichkov 48'
  • yellowcard Abde Rebbach 49'
  • goal Asier Villalibre 45'+5'
  • goal Toni Martinez 77'
  • yellowcard Antonio Sivera 90'
  • yellowcard Manu Sanchez 90'+7'
Club Friendlies 3
Jul 20, 2024 5.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio de Mendizorroza
  • Kike 11' goal
  • 66' yellowcard
  • goal Brais Mendez 29'
La Liga Gameweek 30
Mar 31, 2024 5.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio de Mendizorroza
  • Ander Guevara 62' yellowcard
  • Abdel Abqar 86' yellowcard
  • goal Jon Pacheco 59'
  • yellowcard Mikel Merino 80'
  • yellowcard Jon Pacheco 89'
La Liga Gameweek 19
Jan 2, 2024 6.15pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Reale Arena
  • Alex Remiro 36' redcard
  • Igor Zubeldia 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Carlos Fernandez 71' yellowcard
  • Hamari Traore 74' yellowcard
  • Martin Zubimendi 90'+6' goal
  • Mikel Oyarzabal 90'+7' yellowcard
  • Umar Sadiq 90'+11' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Abde Rebbach 50'
  • yellowcard Samu Omorodion 59'
  • goal Luis Rioja 76'
  • yellowcard Antonio Sivera 87'
  • yellowcard Kike 90'+3'