Feb 4, 2026 8.00pm

2

3

HT : 1 1

FT Estadio de Mendizorroza

Abde Rebbach 8'
Toni Martinez 29'
Toni Martínez 29'
Toni Martinez 67'
Toni Martínez 67'
Lucas Boye 71'
Pablo Ibanez 71'
Lucas Boyé 71'
Pablo Ibáñez 71'
Carles Alena 84'
Angel Pérez Hidalgo 84'
Carles Aleñá 84'
Ángel Pérez 84'
Jon Guridi 90'+1'

Mikel Oyarzabal 15'
Alvaro Odriozola 59'
Luka Sucic 59'
Álvaro Odriozola 59'
Alvaro Odriozola 60'
Luka Sucic 60'
Orri Oskarsson 74'
74'
Daniel Díaz Gándara 74'
Dani Díaz 74'
Orri Óskarsson 74'
Goncalo Guedes 76'
Gonçalo Guedes 76'
Orri Oskarsson 80'
Orri Óskarsson 80'
Igor Zubeldia 90'+2'

Alaves vs Real Sociedad - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Alaves vs Real Sociedad - prediction, team news, lineups

Preview: Alaves vs Real Sociedad - prediction, team news, lineups

Football | 02 Feb 2026 11:50

Form, Standings, Stats

Alaves

All competitions

W
W
L
W
D
D

Real Sociedad

All competitions

D
W
W
D
W
D

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 43.97%. A draw had a probability of 29.03% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 26.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.88%) and 1-2 (8.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.87%) , while for a Alaves win it was 1-0 (10.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.

Result

Alaves 26.94% ▲ (+0.32)

Draw 29.03% ▼ (-0.34)

Real Sociedad 43.97% ▼ (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score:

46.12% ▼ (-0.16)

Goals

Over 1.5 66.18% ▲ (+0.12)

Under 1.5 33.82% ▼ (-0.11)

Over 2.5 38.72% ▲ (+0.01)

Under 2.5 61.28% ▼ (-0.01)

Over 3.5 19.76% ▼ (-0.04)

Under 3.5 80.24% ▲ (+0.05)

Over 4.5 9.75% ▲ (+0.08)

Under 4.5 90.25% ▼ (-0.07)

First Half Winner

Alaves 20.02% ▲ (+1.00)

Draw 50.61% ▼ (-0.82)

Real Sociedad 29.37% ▼ (-0.20)

Team To Score First

Alaves 35.94% ▲ (+0.10)

No Goal 10.51% ▼ (-0.25)

Real Sociedad 53.55% ▲ (+0.15)

Corners

Over 8 54.78% ▼ (-1.29)

Equal 8 11.71% ▼ (-0.13)

Under 8 33.51% ▲ (+1.42)

Over 9 43.12% ▼ (-1.04)

Equal 9 11.66% ▼ (-0.25)

Under 9 45.22% ▲ (+1.29)

Over 10.5 32.47% ▼ (-0.74)

Under 10.5 67.53% ▲ (+0.74)

Alaves Goals

Over 1.5 23.6% ▲ (+0.06)

Under 1.5 76.4% ▼ (-0.05)

Over 2.5 6.62% ▲ (+0.17)

Under 2.5 93.38% ▼ (-0.18)

Over 3.5 1.67% ▲ (+0.08)

Under 3.5 98.33% ▼ (-0.08)

Real Sociedad Goals

Over 0.5 71.73% ▼ (-0.05)

Under 0.5 28.27% ▲ (+0.06)

Over 1.5 36.81% ▼ (-0.10)

Under 1.5 63.19% ▲ (+0.10)

Over 2.5 13.99% ▼ (-0.03)

Under 2.5 86.01% ▲ (+0.04)

Over 3.5 4.19% ▼ (-0.05)

Under 3.5 95.81% ▲ (+0.05)

Score analysis

Alaves 26.94%

Draw 29.03%

Real Sociedad 43.97%

Alaves

1-0 @ 10.11% ▲ (+0.09)

2-1 @ 5.95%

2-0 @ 4.72% ▲ (+0.02)

3-1 @ 1.96% ▲ (+0.03)

3-2 @ 1.33% ▲ (+0.07)

3-0 @ 1.21% ▲ (+0.04)

Other @ 1.66% ▲ (+0.08)

Total : 26.94%

Draw

1-1 @ 13.87% ▲ (+0.06)

0-0 @ 10.51% ▼ (-0.25)

2-2 @ 4.19% ▼ (-0.14)

Other @ 0.01%

Total : 29.03%

Real Sociedad

0-1 @ 13.14% ▼ (-0.03)

0-2 @ 8.88% ▲ (+0.05)

1-2 @ 8.42% ▼ (-0.03)

1-3 @ 3.86% ▼ (-0.02)

0-3 @ 3.37% ▲ (+0.06)

2-3 @ 2.12%

Other @ 4.18% ▼ (-0.06)

Total : 43.97%

Head to Head

Dec 6, 2025 3.15pm

1

0

HT : 1 0

FT

Lucas Boye 45'+4'
Ander Guevara 62'
Nahuel Tenaglia 69'

Jon Gorrotxategi Etxaniz 29'
Jon Aramburu 39'

Apr 23, 2025 8.30pm

1

0

HT : 0 0

FT Estadio de Mendizorroza

Carlos Vicente 36'
Tomas Conechny 47'
Nahuel Tenaglia 65'
Antonio Sivera 90'+1'
Antonio Blanco 90'+2'

Jon Aramburu 30'
Arkaitz Mariezkurrena Etxezarreta 80'
Orri Oskarsson 90'+1'
Luka Sucic 90'+2'
Aritz Elustondo 90'+5'

Aug 28, 2024 8.30pm

1

2

HT : 1 1

FT Reale Arena

Jon Pacheco 16'
Mikel Oyarzabal 29'
Brais Mendez 32'
Igor Zubeldia 36'
Takefusa Kubo 90'+7'
Jon Martin Vicente 90'+7'

Stoichkov 48'
Abde Rebbach 49'
Asier Villalibre 45'+5'
Toni Martinez 77'
Antonio Sivera 90'
Manu Sanchez 90'+7'

Jul 20, 2024 5.00pm

1

1

HT : 1 1

FT Estadio de Mendizorroza

Kike 11'
66'

Brais Mendez 29'

Mar 31, 2024 5.30pm

0

1

HT : 0 0

FT Estadio de Mendizorroza

Ander Guevara 62'
Abdel Abqar 86'

Jon Pacheco 59'
Mikel Merino 80'
Jon Pacheco 89'

Jan 2, 2024 6.15pm

1

1

HT : 0 0

FT Reale Arena

Alex Remiro 36'
Igor Zubeldia 45'+2'
Carlos Fernandez 71'
Hamari Traore 74'
Martin Zubimendi 90'+6'
Mikel Oyarzabal 90'+7'
Umar Sadiq 90'+11'

Abde Rebbach 50'
Samu Omorodion 59'
Luis Rioja 76'
Antonio Sivera 87'
Kike 90'+3'

Form Data

Espanyol 1 - 2 Alaves

Alaves 2 - 1 Betis

Atletico 1 - 0 Alaves

Alaves 2 - 0 Rayo Vallecano

Villarreal 0 - 0 Alaves

Alaves 1 - 1 Real Oviedo

Athletic Bilbao 1 - 1 Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad 3 - 1 Celta Vigo

Real Sociedad 2 - 1 Barcelona

Real Sociedad 2 - 2 Osasuna

Getafe 1 - 2 Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad 1 - 1 Atletico