La Liga Gameweek 24
Feb 15, 2026 1.00pm
Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere

Real Oviedo vs Athletic Bilbao - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Oviedo

All competitions
Last game
Feb 7, 2026 1.00pm
Rayo Vallecano 0 - 0 Real Oviedo
Goals scored
9
Top scorer
Federico Vinas

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions
Last game
Feb 8, 2026 3.15pm
Athletic Bilbao 0 - 0 Levante
Goals scored
19
Top scorer
Alex Berenguer

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 36.99%. A win for Real Oviedo has a probability of 35.28% and a draw has a probability of 27.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Athletic Bilbao win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.18%) and 0-2 (6.94%). The likeliest Real Oviedo win is 1-0 (10.87%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.78%).

Result

Real Oviedo 35.28% (+0.44)
Draw 27.73% (-0.25)
Athletic Bilbao 36.99% (-0.18)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.71% (-0.18)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.61% (-0.21)
Under 1.5 29.39% (+0.22)
Over 2.5 44.05% (-0.52)
Under 2.5 55.95% (+0.52)
Over 3.5 22.97% (-0.21)
Under 3.5 77.03% (+0.21)
Over 4.5 11.63% (-0.14)
Under 4.5 88.37% (+0.15)

First Half Winner

Real Oviedo 23.1% (+0.21)
Draw 48.22% (-0.17)
Athletic Bilbao 28.68% (-0.04)

Team To Score First

Real Oviedo 41.33% (+0.56)
No Goal 8.34% (+0.17)
Athletic Bilbao 50.33% (-0.72)

Corners

Over 8 52.98% (+0.27)
Equal 8 11.75% (+0.32)
Under 8 35.27% (-0.58)
Over 9 41.45% (-0.05)
Equal 9 11.53% (+0.32)
Under 9 47.02% (-0.27)
Over 10.5 31.04% (-0.34)
Under 10.5 68.96% (+0.33)

Real Oviedo Goals

Over 1.5 32.26% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 67.74% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 11.54% (+0.07)
Under 2.5 88.46% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 3.24% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 96.76% (+0.03)

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5 69.33% (-0.50)
Under 0.5 30.67% (+0.50)
Over 1.5 34.35% (-0.54)
Under 1.5 65.65% (+0.55)
Over 2.5 12.51% (-0.40)
Under 2.5 87.49% (+0.40)
Over 3.5 3.54% (-0.17)
Under 3.5 96.46% (+0.17)

Score analysis

Real Oviedo 35.28%
Draw 27.73%
Athletic Bilbao 36.99%
Real Oviedo
1-0 @ 10.87% (-0.07)
2-1 @ 7.86% (-0.09)
2-0 @ 5.83% (+0.32)
3-1 @ 3.16% (+0.08)
3-0 @ 2.46%
3-2 @ 1.93% (+0.12)
Other @ 3.17% (+0.09)
Total : 35.28%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.78% (-0.05)
0-0 @ 8.34% (+0.17)
2-2 @ 4.79% (-0.17)
Other @ 0.07% (-0.10)
Total : 27.73%
Athletic Bilbao
0-1 @ 10.18% (+0.10)
1-2 @ 8.18% (-0.14)
0-2 @ 6.94% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 3.39% (+0.05)
0-3 @ 2.59% (-0.10)
2-3 @ 2.24% (-0.07)
Other @ 3.47% (-0.07)
Total : 36.99%

Head to Head

La Liga
Nov 9, 2025 1.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT