Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 37.78%. A win for Real Oviedo had a probability of 34.45% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.3%) and 0-2 (6.95%). The likeliest Real Oviedo win was 1-0 (10.5%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.