La Liga
Feb 15, 2026 1.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere
  • Ilyas Chaira 30' goal
  • Thiago Fernández 57' yellowcard
  • Santi Cazorla 65' yellowcard
  • Nicolás Fonseca 65' yellowcard
  • Lucas Ahijado 81' yellowcard
  • Álex Forés 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Robert Navarro 46'
  • goal Mikel Jauregizar 58'
  • yellowcard Alejandro Rego 61'
  • yellowcard Jesús Areso 66'
  • yellowcard Mikel Vesga 66'
  • yellowcard Oihan Sancet 71'
  • yellowcard Unai Gómez 90'

Real Oviedo vs Athletic Bilbao - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Oviedo

All competitions
Last game
Jan 31, 2026 1.00pm
Real Oviedo 1 - 0 Girona
Goals scored
16
Top scorer
Federico Viñas

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions
Last game
Feb 8, 2026 3.15pm
Athletic Bilbao 4 - 2 Levante
Goals scored
30
Top scorer
Gorka Guruzeta

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 37.78%. A win for Real Oviedo had a probability of 34.45% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.3%) and 0-2 (6.95%). The likeliest Real Oviedo win was 1-0 (10.5%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.

Result

Real Oviedo 34.45% (-0.79)
Draw 27.8% (+0.02)
Athletic Bilbao 37.78% (+0.83)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.34% (+0.75)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.22% (+0.46)
Under 1.5 28.78% (-0.46)
Over 2.5 44.88% (+0.54)
Under 2.5 55.12% (-0.54)
Over 3.5 23.67% (+0.69)
Under 3.5 76.33% (-0.69)
Over 4.5 12.12% (+0.50)
Under 4.5 87.88% (-0.50)

First Half Winner

Real Oviedo 23.08% (-0.07)
Draw 48.25% (+0.08)
Athletic Bilbao 28.67% (-0.01)

Team To Score First

Real Oviedo 41.53% (+0.36)
No Goal 8.13% (-0.18)
Athletic Bilbao 50.34% (-0.17)

Corners

Over 8 53.02% (+0.11)
Equal 8 11.93% (+0.17)
Under 8 35.05% (-0.27)
Over 9 41.3% (-0.09)
Equal 9 11.72% (+0.19)
Under 9 46.98% (-0.11)
Over 10.5 30.75% (-0.22)
Under 10.5 69.25% (+0.22)

Real Oviedo Goals

Over 1.5 32.16% (-0.22)
Under 1.5 67.84% (+0.22)
Over 2.5 11.45% (-0.20)
Under 2.5 88.55% (+0.19)
Over 3.5 3.26% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 96.74% (-0.02)

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5 70.28% (+0.86)
Under 0.5 29.72% (-0.86)
Over 1.5 35.48% (+1.03)
Under 1.5 64.52% (-1.04)
Over 2.5 13.24% (+0.64)
Under 2.5 86.76% (-0.63)
Over 3.5 3.83% (+0.29)
Under 3.5 96.17% (-0.29)

Score analysis

Real Oviedo 34.46%
Draw 27.8%
Athletic Bilbao 37.78%
Real Oviedo
1-0 @ 10.5% (-0.31)
2-1 @ 7.81% (-0.10)
2-0 @ 5.6% (-0.17)
3-1 @ 3.01% (-0.15)
3-0 @ 2.37% (-0.18)
3-2 @ 2.01% (+0.09)
Other @ 3.16% (+0.02)
Total : 34.46%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.79%
0-0 @ 8.13% (-0.18)
2-2 @ 4.98% (+0.16)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 27.8%
Athletic Bilbao
0-1 @ 10.19% (+0.06)
1-2 @ 8.3% (+0.08)
0-2 @ 6.95% (+0.09)
1-3 @ 3.57% (+0.18)
0-3 @ 2.72% (+0.06)
2-3 @ 2.32% (+0.09)
Other @ 3.73% (+0.28)
Total : 37.78%

Head to Head

La Liga
Nov 9, 2025 1.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT