Copa del Rey
Feb 11, 2026 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT San Mamés Barria
  • Inigo Ruiz de Galarreta 56' yellowcard
  • Nico Serrano 56' yellowcard
  • Selton Sued Sánchez Camilo 56' yellowcard
  • Nico Williams 56' yellowcard
  • Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta 56' yellowcard
  • Selton Sánchez 56' yellowcard
  • Mikel Vesga 82' yellowcard
  • goal Benat Turrientes 62'
  • goal Beñat Turrientes 62'
  • yellowcard Aritz Elustondo 74'
  • yellowcard Orri Oskarsson 74'
  • yellowcard Orri Óskarsson 74'
  • yellowcard Yangel Herrera 85'
  • yellowcard Alvaro Odriozola 85'
  • yellowcard Álvaro Odriozola 85'
  • yellowcard Job Ochieng 90'+5'

Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions

Real Sociedad

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 38.72%. A win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 32.81% and a draw had a probability of 28.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (6.31%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win was 0-1 (9.04%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood.

Result

Athletic Bilbao 38.72% (+0.83)
Draw 28.46% (-0.58)
Real Sociedad 32.81% (-0.25)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.47% (+0.34)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.52% (+0.63)
Under 1.5 28.48% (-0.63)
Over 2.5 45.65% (+0.87)
Under 2.5 54.35% (-0.87)
Over 3.5 23.23% (+0.66)
Under 3.5 76.77% (-0.66)
Over 4.5 12.07% (+0.42)
Under 4.5 87.93% (-0.41)

First Half Winner

Athletic Bilbao 28.26% (+0.19)
Draw 47.71% (-0.25)
Real Sociedad 24.03% (+0.07)

Team To Score First

Athletic Bilbao 47.58% (+0.12)
No Goal 8.74% (-0.30)
Real Sociedad 43.68% (+0.18)

Corners

Over 8 53.75% (+0.19)
Equal 8 11.98% (+0.01)
Under 8 34.27% (-0.21)
Over 9 41.92% (+0.17)
Equal 9 11.83% (+0.03)
Under 9 46.25% (-0.19)
Over 10.5 31.22% (+0.15)
Under 10.5 68.78% (-0.15)

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 1.5 35.79% (+0.86)
Under 1.5 64.21% (-0.86)
Over 2.5 14.03% (+0.78)
Under 2.5 85.97% (-0.79)
Over 3.5 4.1% (+0.30)
Under 3.5 95.9% (-0.30)

Real Sociedad Goals

Over 0.5 66.98% (-0.26)
Under 0.5 33.02% (+0.27)
Over 1.5 32.12% (+0.29)
Under 1.5 67.88% (-0.30)
Over 2.5 11% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 89% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 3.1% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 96.9% (-0.08)

Score analysis

Athletic Bilbao 38.72%
Draw 28.48%
Real Sociedad 32.82%
Athletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 10.72% (+0.05)
2-1 @ 8.68% (-0.04)
2-0 @ 6.31% (+0.10)
3-1 @ 3.42% (+0.20)
3-0 @ 3.29% (+0.17)
3-2 @ 2.32% (+0.07)
Other @ 3.98% (+0.30)
Total : 38.72%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.72% (-0.39)
0-0 @ 8.74% (-0.30)
2-2 @ 5% (+0.09)
Other @ 0.12% (+0.01)
Total : 28.48%
Real Sociedad
0-1 @ 9.04% (-0.34)
1-2 @ 7.96% (+0.17)
0-2 @ 5.84% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.74% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 2.49% (-0.08)
2-3 @ 1.77% (-0.08)
Other @ 2.98% (+0.07)
Total : 32.82%

Head to Head

La Liga Gameweek 22
Feb 1, 2026 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 2
FT San Mamés Barria
  • Inigo Ruiz de Galarreta 46' yellowcard
  • Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta 46' yellowcard
  • Robert Navarro 62' yellowcard
  • 62' yellowcard
  • 63' yellowcard
  • Robert Navarro 63' yellowcard
  • Urko Iruretagoiena Lertxundi 72' yellowcard
  • Inaki Williams 72' yellowcard
  • Urko Izeta 72' yellowcard
  • Iñaki Williams 72' yellowcard
  • Andoni Gorosabel 79' yellowcard
  • Inigo Ruiz de Galarreta 88' goal
  • Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta 88' goal
  • goal Goncalo Guedes 37'
  • goal Gonçalo Guedes 37'
  • yellowcard Benat Turrientes 63'
  • yellowcard 63'
  • yellowcard Brais Mendez 63'
  • yellowcard Brais Méndez 63'
  • yellowcard Beñat Turrientes 63'
  • yellowcard Wesley Gassova 77'
  • yellowcard Orri Oskarsson 77'
  • yellowcard Wesley 77'
  • yellowcard Orri Óskarsson 77'
  • yellowcard Aihen Munoz 85'
  • yellowcard Aihen Muñoz 85'
La Liga
Nov 1, 2025 5.30pm
3
2
HT : 0 0
FT
La Liga Gameweek 34
May 4, 2025 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Reale Arena
  • Pablo Marin 58' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alex Berenguer 44'
  • yellowcard Andoni Gorosabel 78'
La Liga Gameweek 14
Nov 24, 2024 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT San Mames Barria
  • Oihan Sancet 26' goal
  • Benat Prados 41' yellowcard
  • Inigo Ruiz de Galarreta 76' yellowcard
  • Yuri Berchiche 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Igor Zubeldia 21'
  • yellowcard Javi Lopez 53'
  • yellowcard Nayef Aguerd 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Luka Sucic 90'+5'
La Liga Gameweek 20
Jan 13, 2024 5.30pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT San Mames Barria
  • Alex Berenguer 30' goal
  • Alex Berenguer 42' goal
  • Unai Gomez 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ander Barrenetxea 61'
  • goal Mikel Oyarzabal 88'
  • yellowcard Mikel Merino 90'
  • yellowcard Robin Le Normand 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Aritz Elustondo 90'+3'
La Liga Gameweek 8
Sep 30, 2023 8.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Reale Arena
  • Robin Le Normand 30' goal
  • Mikel Merino 44' yellowcard
  • Takefusa Kubo 48' goal
  • Mikel Oyarzabal 66' goal
  • Igor Zubeldia 77' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ander Herrera 29'
  • yellowcard Daniel Vivian 44'