Copa del Rey
Feb 11, 2026 8.00pm
San Mamés Barria

Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions

Real Sociedad

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 37.86%. A win for Real Sociedad has a probability of 33.13% and a draw has a probability of 29.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Athletic Bilbao win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (6.21%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win is 0-1 (9.37%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (14.11%).

Result

Athletic Bilbao 37.86% (+6.07)
Draw 29.06% (+0.84)
Real Sociedad 33.13% (-6.85)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.12% (+1.78)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.93% (+1.64)
Under 1.5 29.07% (-1.63)
Over 2.5 44.78% (+1.54)
Under 2.5 55.22% (-1.54)
Over 3.5 22.58% (+1.28)
Under 3.5 77.42% (-1.29)
Over 4.5 11.68% (+1.07)
Under 4.5 88.32% (-1.07)

First Half Winner

Athletic Bilbao 28.14% (+2.02)
Draw 47.92% (+0.27)
Real Sociedad 23.95% (-2.27)

Team To Score First

Athletic Bilbao 47.51% (+3.22)
No Goal 9.05% (-0.18)
Real Sociedad 43.44% (-3.04)

Corners

Over 8 53.52% (-0.85)
Equal 8 11.97% (+0.04)
Under 8 34.52% (+0.84)
Over 9 41.72% (-0.81)
Equal 9 11.8% (-0.05)
Under 9 46.48% (+0.85)
Over 10.5 31.06% (-0.68)
Under 10.5 68.94% (+0.68)

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 1.5 34.92% (+6.00)
Under 1.5 65.08% (-5.99)
Over 2.5 13.22% (+3.40)
Under 2.5 86.78% (-3.40)
Over 3.5 3.8% (+1.36)
Under 3.5 96.2% (-1.36)

Real Sociedad Goals

Over 0.5 67.3% (-3.38)
Under 0.5 32.7% (+3.38)
Over 1.5 31.9% (-4.00)
Under 1.5 68.1% (+4.00)
Over 2.5 11.11% (-2.31)
Under 2.5 88.89% (+2.30)
Over 3.5 3.04% (-0.74)
Under 3.5 96.96% (+0.74)

Score analysis

Athletic Bilbao 37.85%
Draw 29.06%
Real Sociedad 33.13%
Athletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 10.69% (+0.44)
2-1 @ 8.71% (+1.40)
2-0 @ 6.21% (+1.02)
3-1 @ 3.21% (+0.65)
3-0 @ 3.11% (+0.77)
3-2 @ 2.24% (+0.46)
Other @ 3.68% (+1.33)
Total : 37.85%
Draw
1-1 @ 14.11% (+0.48)
0-0 @ 9.05% (-0.18)
2-2 @ 4.92% (+0.33)
Other @ 0.12% (+0.04)
Total : 29.06%
Real Sociedad
0-1 @ 9.37% (-1.90)
1-2 @ 7.79% (-1.12)
0-2 @ 5.84% (-1.37)
1-3 @ 2.77% (-0.77)
0-3 @ 2.58% (-0.82)
2-3 @ 1.86% (-0.13)
Other @ 2.92% (-0.79)
Total : 33.13%

Head to Head

La Liga Gameweek 22
Feb 1, 2026 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT San Mamés Barria
  • Inigo Ruiz de Galarreta 46' yellowcard
  • Robert Navarro 62' yellowcard
  • 62' yellowcard
  • 63' yellowcard
  • Robert Navarro 63' yellowcard
  • Urko Iruretagoiena Lertxundi 72' yellowcard
  • Inaki Williams 72' yellowcard
  • Andoni Gorosabel 79' yellowcard
  • Inigo Ruiz de Galarreta 88' goal
  • goal Goncalo Guedes 37'
  • yellowcard Benat Turrientes 63'
  • yellowcard 63'
  • yellowcard Brais Mendez 63'
  • yellowcard Wesley Gassova 77'
  • yellowcard Orri Oskarsson 77'
  • yellowcard Aihen Munoz 85'
La Liga
Nov 1, 2025 5.30pm
3
2
HT : 0 0
FT
La Liga Gameweek 34
May 4, 2025 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Reale Arena
  • Pablo Marin 58' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alex Berenguer 44'
  • yellowcard Andoni Gorosabel 78'
La Liga Gameweek 14
Nov 24, 2024 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT San Mames Barria
  • Oihan Sancet 26' goal
  • Benat Prados 41' yellowcard
  • Inigo Ruiz de Galarreta 76' yellowcard
  • Yuri Berchiche 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Igor Zubeldia 21'
  • yellowcard Javi Lopez 53'
  • yellowcard Nayef Aguerd 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Luka Sucic 90'+5'
La Liga Gameweek 20
Jan 13, 2024 5.30pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT San Mames Barria
  • Alex Berenguer 30' goal
  • Alex Berenguer 42' goal
  • Unai Gomez 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ander Barrenetxea 61'
  • goal Mikel Oyarzabal 88'
  • yellowcard Mikel Merino 90'
  • yellowcard Robin Le Normand 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Aritz Elustondo 90'+3'
La Liga Gameweek 8
Sep 30, 2023 8.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Reale Arena
  • Robin Le Normand 30' goal
  • Mikel Merino 44' yellowcard
  • Takefusa Kubo 48' goal
  • Mikel Oyarzabal 66' goal
  • Igor Zubeldia 77' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ander Herrera 29'
  • yellowcard Daniel Vivian 44'