Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 42.59%. A win for Athletic Bilbao has a probability of 29.2% and a draw has a probability of 28.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win is 0-1 (9.72%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.95%).