La Liga
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Jorge de Frutos
35'
-
Óscar Valentín
61'
-
Unai López
61'
-
Fran Pérez
61'
-
Pedro Díaz
69'
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Alexandre Zurawski
86'
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Álex Berenguer
46'
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Iñaki Williams
47'
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Alejandro Rego
59'
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Andoni Gorosabel
73'
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Selton Sánchez
86'
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Mikel Vesga
86'
Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 42.59%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 29.2% and a draw had a probability of 28.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 (9.72%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
Result
Rayo Vallecano
42.59%
▼
(-0.14)
Draw
28.22%
▲
(+0.08)
Athletic Bilbao
29.2%
▲
(+0.08)
Both Teams to Score:
47.78%
▼
(-0.15)
Goals
Over 1.5
67.7%
▼
(-0.13)
Under 1.5
32.3%
▲
(+0.13)
Over 2.5
42.41%
▼
(-0.19)
Under 2.5
57.59%
▲
(+0.19)
Over 3.5
21.73%
▼
(-0.17)
Under 3.5
78.27%
▲
(+0.18)
Over 4.5
11.32%
▼
(-0.09)
Under 4.5
88.68%
▲
(+0.10)
First Half Winner
Rayo Vallecano
37.17%
▼
(-0.02)
Draw
40.78%
▲
(+0.03)
Athletic Bilbao
22.05%
Team To Score First
Rayo Vallecano
53.25%
▲
(+0.05)
No Goal
10.11%
▲
(+0.04)
Athletic Bilbao
36.64%
▼
(-0.09)
Corners
Over 8
58.14%
▲
(+0.15)
Equal 8
11.41%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 8
30.45%
▼
(-0.22)
Over 9
46.49%
▲
(+0.07)
Equal 9
11.65%
▲
(+0.09)
Under 9
41.86%
▼
(-0.15)
Over 10.5
35.56%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 10.5
64.44%
▲
(+0.02)
Rayo Vallecano Goals
Over 1.5
36.83%
▼
(-0.25)
Under 1.5
63.17%
▲
(+0.25)
Over 2.5
15.19%
▼
(-0.12)
Under 2.5
84.81%
▲
(+0.11)
Over 3.5
4.65%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 3.5
95.35%
▲
(+0.04)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5
61.82%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 0.5
38.18%
▲
(+0.05)
Over 1.5
26.91%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 1.5
73.09%
▲
(+0.08)
Over 2.5
8.33%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 2.5
91.67%
▲
(+0.05)
Over 3.5
2.14%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 3.5
97.86%
▲
(+0.02)
Score analysis
Rayo Vallecano
42.59%
Draw
28.21%
Athletic Bilbao
29.19%
Rayo Vallecano
1-0
@
12.46%
▲
(+0.03)
2-1 @ 8.42% ▼ (-0.07)
2-0 @ 7.31% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 3.82% ▼ (-0.06)
3-0 @ 3.69% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.29% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 4.6% ▼ (-0.04)
Total : 42.59%
2-1 @ 8.42% ▼ (-0.07)
2-0 @ 7.31% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 3.82% ▼ (-0.06)
3-0 @ 3.69% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.29% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 4.6% ▼ (-0.04)
Total : 42.59%
Draw
1-1
@
12.95%
▲
(+0.09)
0-0 @ 10.11% ▲ (+0.04)
2-2 @ 4.36% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 0.05% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 28.21%
0-0 @ 10.11% ▲ (+0.04)
2-2 @ 4.36% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 0.05% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 28.21%
Athletic Bilbao
0-1
@
9.72%
▲
(+0.06)
1-2 @ 6.91% ▲ (+0.05)
0-2 @ 5.02% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.23%
0-3 @ 1.67%
2-3 @ 1.55% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 29.19%
1-2 @ 6.91% ▲ (+0.05)
0-2 @ 5.02% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.23%
0-3 @ 1.67%
2-3 @ 1.55% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 29.19%
Head to Head
La Liga
La Liga
Gameweek
31
-
Alvaro Djalo
12'
-
Daniel Vivian
36'
-
Oihan Sancet
58'
-
Nico Williams
80'
-
Adama Boiro Boiro
84'
-
Inaki Williams
87'
-
Oihan Sancet
90'+4'
-
Pathe Ciss
37'
-
Pedro Diaz
50'
-
Alfonso Espino
57'
-
Unai Lopez
75'
La Liga
Gameweek
15
-
Randy Nteka
14'
-
Pathe Ciss
69'
-
Gerard Gumbau
76'
-
Alvaro Garcia
90'+5'
-
Oihan Sancet
65'
-
Oihan Sancet
78'
La Liga
Gameweek
38
-
Miguel Crespo
84'
-
Inigo Ruiz de Galarreta
44'
-
Nico Williams
67'
La Liga
Gameweek
15
-
Daniel Vivian
6'
-
Gorka Guruzeta
23'
-
Alfonso Espino
47'
-
Inaki Williams
64'
-
Nico Williams
68'
-
Alfonso Espino
32'
-
Radamel Falcao
87'
La Liga
Gameweek
24