Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Betis win with a probability of 49.57%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 26.52% and a draw had a probability of 23.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Betis win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (8.83%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 1-2 (6.47%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.