Copa del Rey
Mar 4, 2026 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Anoeta Stadium
  • Yangel Herrera 59' yellowcard
  • Pablo Marín 59' yellowcard
  • Orri Óskarsson 83' yellowcard
  • Mikel Oyarzabal 87' yellowcard
  • Aihen Muñoz 90' yellowcard
  • Aihen Muñoz 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Luka Sucic 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta 56'
  • yellowcard Robert Navarro 67'
  • yellowcard Jesús Areso 67'
  • yellowcard Nico Serrano 82'
  • yellowcard Mikel Vesga 82'

Real Sociedad vs Athletic Bilbao - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Sociedad

All competitions
Copa del Rey
Last game
Feb 11, 2026 8.00pm
Athletic Bilbao 0 - 1 Real Sociedad

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions
Copa del Rey
Last game
Feb 11, 2026 8.00pm
Athletic Bilbao 0 - 1 Real Sociedad

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 45.72%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 28.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.7%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 1-2 (7.2%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.

Result

Real Sociedad 45.72% (+0.26)
Draw 25.58% (-0.05)
Athletic Bilbao 28.7% (-0.23)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.37% (-0.06)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.6% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 23.4% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 53.11% (-0.07)
Under 2.5 46.89% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 29.69% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 70.31% (+0.05)
Over 4.5 16.79% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 83.21% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Real Sociedad 35.21% (+0.03)
Draw 41.66% (+0.02)
Athletic Bilbao 23.14% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Real Sociedad 55.4%
No Goal 6.52% (+0.01)
Athletic Bilbao 38.08% (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 55.74% (+0.10)
Equal 8 11.21% (+0.02)
Under 8 33.06% (-0.08)
Over 9 44.49% (+0.08)
Equal 9 11.24% (+0.01)
Under 9 44.26% (-0.10)
Over 10.5 34.1% (+0.07)
Under 10.5 65.9% (-0.06)

Real Sociedad Goals

Over 1.5 45.03% (+0.15)
Under 1.5 54.97% (-0.15)
Over 2.5 20.42% (+0.12)
Under 2.5 79.58% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 7.36% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 92.64% (-0.05)

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5 65% (-0.22)
Under 0.5 35% (+0.22)
Over 1.5 31.4% (-0.25)
Under 1.5 68.6% (+0.24)
Over 2.5 11.38% (-0.16)
Under 2.5 88.62% (+0.17)
Over 3.5 3.54% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 96.46% (+0.05)

Score analysis

Real Sociedad 45.71%
Draw 25.57%
Athletic Bilbao 28.7%
Real Sociedad
2-1 @ 9.73% (+0.02)
1-0 @ 9.7% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 7.19% (+0.07)
3-1 @ 4.68% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 4.35% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 2.84% (+0.01)
Other @ 7.22% (+0.06)
Total : 45.71%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.03% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.52% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.69% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.19% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.14% (-0.01)
Total : 25.57%
Athletic Bilbao
1-2 @ 7.2% (-0.05)
0-1 @ 7.16% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 4.29% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.52% (-0.05)
0-3 @ 2.13% (-0.04)
2-3 @ 2% (-0.03)
Other @ 3.4% (-0.05)
Total : 28.7%

Head to Head

Copa del Rey
Feb 11, 2026 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT San Mamés Barria
  • Inigo Ruiz de Galarreta 56' yellowcard
  • Nico Serrano 56' yellowcard
  • Selton Sued Sánchez Camilo 56' yellowcard
  • Nico Williams 56' yellowcard
  • Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta 56' yellowcard
  • Selton Sánchez 56' yellowcard
  • Mikel Vesga 82' yellowcard
  • goal Benat Turrientes 62'
  • goal Beñat Turrientes 62'
  • yellowcard Aritz Elustondo 74'
  • yellowcard Orri Oskarsson 74'
  • yellowcard Orri Óskarsson 74'
  • yellowcard Yangel Herrera 85'
  • yellowcard Alvaro Odriozola 85'
  • yellowcard Álvaro Odriozola 85'
  • yellowcard Job Ochieng 90'+5'
La Liga Gameweek 22
Feb 1, 2026 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 2
FT San Mamés Barria
  • Inigo Ruiz de Galarreta 46' yellowcard
  • Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta 46' yellowcard
  • Robert Navarro 62' yellowcard
  • 62' yellowcard
  • 63' yellowcard
  • Robert Navarro 63' yellowcard
  • Urko Iruretagoiena Lertxundi 72' yellowcard
  • Inaki Williams 72' yellowcard
  • Urko Izeta 72' yellowcard
  • Iñaki Williams 72' yellowcard
  • Andoni Gorosabel 79' yellowcard
  • Inigo Ruiz de Galarreta 88' goal
  • Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta 88' goal
  • goal Goncalo Guedes 37'
  • goal Gonçalo Guedes 37'
  • yellowcard Benat Turrientes 63'
  • yellowcard 63'
  • yellowcard Brais Mendez 63'
  • yellowcard Brais Méndez 63'
  • yellowcard Beñat Turrientes 63'
  • yellowcard Wesley Gassova 77'
  • yellowcard Orri Oskarsson 77'
  • yellowcard Wesley 77'
  • yellowcard Orri Óskarsson 77'
  • yellowcard Aihen Munoz 85'
  • yellowcard Aihen Muñoz 85'
La Liga
Nov 1, 2025 5.30pm
3
2
HT : 0 0
FT
La Liga Gameweek 34
May 4, 2025 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Reale Arena
  • Pablo Marin 58' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alex Berenguer 44'
  • yellowcard Andoni Gorosabel 78'
La Liga Gameweek 14
Nov 24, 2024 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT San Mames Barria
  • Oihan Sancet 26' goal
  • Benat Prados 41' yellowcard
  • Inigo Ruiz de Galarreta 76' yellowcard
  • Yuri Berchiche 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Igor Zubeldia 21'
  • yellowcard Javi Lopez 53'
  • yellowcard Nayef Aguerd 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Luka Sucic 90'+5'
La Liga Gameweek 20
Jan 13, 2024 5.30pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT San Mames Barria
  • Alex Berenguer 30' goal
  • Alex Berenguer 42' goal
  • Unai Gomez 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ander Barrenetxea 61'
  • goal Mikel Oyarzabal 88'
  • yellowcard Mikel Merino 90'
  • yellowcard Robin Le Normand 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Aritz Elustondo 90'+3'