La Liga Gameweek 25
Feb 21, 2026 1.00pm
Anoeta Stadium

Real Sociedad vs Real Oviedo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Sociedad

All competitions
Last game
Feb 14, 2026 8.00pm
Real Madrid 4 - 1 Real Sociedad
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Mikel Oyarzabal

Real Oviedo

All competitions
Last game
Feb 15, 2026 1.00pm
Real Oviedo 0 - 0 Athletic Bilbao
Goals scored
9
Top scorer
Federico Vinas

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 55.3%. A draw has a probability of 25.47% and a win for Real Oviedo has a probability of 19.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.32%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.59%) , while for a Real Oviedo win it is 0-1 (6.77%).

Result

Real Sociedad 55.3% (+0.09)
Draw 25.47% (-0.04)
Real Oviedo 19.23% (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.37% (+0.09)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.6% (+0.13)
Under 1.5 29.4% (-0.14)
Over 2.5 45.86% (+0.15)
Under 2.5 54.14% (-0.15)
Over 3.5 24.33% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 75.67% (-0.10)
Over 4.5 13.42% (+0.08)
Under 4.5 86.58% (-0.08)

First Half Winner

Real Sociedad 41.65%
Draw 40.97%
Real Oviedo 17.38%

Team To Score First

Real Sociedad 59.59% (+0.06)
No Goal 8.68% (-0.06)
Real Oviedo 31.73%

Corners

Over 8 60.23% (-0.02)
Equal 8 11.56% (-0.01)
Under 8 28.2% (+0.01)
Over 9 48.2% (+0.02)
Equal 9 12.04% (-0.02)
Under 9 39.76%
Over 10.5 36.76% (+0.01)
Under 10.5 63.24% (-0.01)

Real Sociedad Goals

Over 1.5 47.81% (+0.14)
Under 1.5 52.19% (-0.14)
Over 2.5 22.16% (+0.13)
Under 2.5 77.84% (-0.12)
Over 3.5 8.04% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 91.96% (-0.07)

Real Oviedo Goals

Over 0.5 53.29% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 46.71% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 19.93% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 80.07% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 5.54%
Under 2.5 94.46%
Over 3.5 1.27%
Under 3.5 98.73%

Score analysis

Real Sociedad 55.29%
Draw 25.48%
Real Oviedo 19.23%
Real Sociedad
1-0 @ 13.95% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 10.32% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.79%
3-0 @ 5.89% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 5.21% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.26%
Other @ 7.87% (+0.07)
Total : 55.29%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.59% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 8.68% (-0.06)
2-2 @ 4.28% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.48%
Real Oviedo
0-1 @ 6.77% (-0.07)
1-2 @ 5.02% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 2.83% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.42% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.26%
Other @ 1.1%
Total : 19.23%

Head to Head

La Liga
Aug 30, 2025 6.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Copa del Rey
Dec 17, 2014 9.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Alfred Finnbogason 28' goal
  • Alfred Finnbogason 62' goal
  • yellowcard Generelo 90'
Copa del Rey
Dec 4, 2014 7.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Diego Cervero 40' yellowcard
  • Borja Valle 51' yellowcard
  • Oscar 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ruben Pardo 6'
  • yellowcard Alfred Finnbogason 76'
  • yellowcard Ion Ansotegi 91'