La Liga
Feb 21, 2026 1.00pm
3
3
HT : 0 0
FT Anoeta Stadium
  • Yangel Herrera 46' yellowcard
  • Álvaro Odriozola 53' yellowcard
  • Orri Óskarsson 53' yellowcard
  • Orri Óskarsson 54' yellowcard
  • Álvaro Odriozola 54' yellowcard
  • Aritz Elustondo 56' yellowcard
  • Orri Óskarsson 64' goal
  • Arsen Zakharyan 77' yellowcard
  • Duje Caleta-Car 87' goal
  • Orri Óskarsson 90' goal
  • goal Federico Viñas 50'
  • goal Federico Viñas 52'
  • yellowcard Santi Cazorla 76'
  • yellowcard Leander Dendoncker 76'
  • yellowcard Thiago Fernández 76'
  • yellowcard Thiago Borbas 84'
  • goal Eric Bailly 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Álex Forés 90'+2'

Real Sociedad vs Real Oviedo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Sociedad

All competitions
Last game
Feb 14, 2026 8.00pm
Real Madrid 4 - 1 Real Sociedad
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Goncalo Guedes

Real Oviedo

All competitions
Last game
Feb 15, 2026 1.00pm
Real Oviedo 1 - 2 Athletic Bilbao
Goals scored
16
Top scorer
Federico Viñas

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 55.37%. A draw had a probability of 25.43% and a win for Real Oviedo had a probability of 19.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.32%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.58%) , while for a Real Oviedo win it was 0-1 (6.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.

Result

Real Sociedad 55.37% (+0.08)
Draw 25.43% (-0.04)
Real Oviedo 19.23% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.41% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.66% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 29.34% (-0.09)
Over 2.5 45.94% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 54.06% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 24.42% (+0.10)
Under 3.5 75.58% (-0.10)
Over 4.5 13.49% (+0.09)
Under 4.5 86.51% (-0.08)

First Half Winner

Real Sociedad 41.65%
Draw 40.97%
Real Oviedo 17.38%

Team To Score First

Real Sociedad 59.59%
No Goal 8.67% (-0.01)
Real Oviedo 31.74% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 60.23%
Equal 8 11.56%
Under 8 28.21% (+0.02)
Over 9 48.2%
Equal 9 12.04%
Under 9 39.77% (+0.02)
Over 10.5 36.76%
Under 10.5 63.24%

Real Sociedad Goals

Over 1.5 47.89% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 52.11% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 22.22% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 77.78% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 8.08% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 91.92% (-0.04)

Real Oviedo Goals

Over 0.5 53.3% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 46.7% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 19.92% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 80.08% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 5.55% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 94.45% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 1.27% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 98.73% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Real Sociedad 55.37%
Draw 25.44%
Real Oviedo 19.22%
Real Sociedad
1-0 @ 13.94%
2-0 @ 10.32%
2-1 @ 9.81% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 5.88% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.23% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.27% (+0.02)
Other @ 7.92% (+0.05)
Total : 55.37%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.58% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 8.67% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.27% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.16% (-0.02)
Total : 25.44%
Real Oviedo
0-1 @ 6.76%
1-2 @ 5.01%
0-2 @ 2.82%
1-3 @ 1.43% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.27% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.11% (+0.03)
Total : 19.22%

Head to Head

La Liga
Aug 30, 2025 6.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Copa del Rey
Dec 17, 2014 9.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Alfred Finnbogason 28' goal
  • Alfred Finnbogason 62' goal
  • yellowcard Generelo 90'
Copa del Rey
Dec 4, 2014 7.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Diego Cervero 40' yellowcard
  • Borja Valle 51' yellowcard
  • Oscar 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ruben Pardo 6'
  • yellowcard Alfred Finnbogason 76'
  • yellowcard Ion Ansotegi 91'