Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 55.37%. A draw had a probability of 25.43% and a win for Real Oviedo had a probability of 19.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.32%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.58%) , while for a Real Oviedo win it was 0-1 (6.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.