La Liga Gameweek 24
Feb 14, 2026 8.00pm
Estadio Santiago Bernabéu

Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Madrid

All competitions
Last game
Feb 8, 2026 8.00pm
Valencia 0 - 2 Real Madrid
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Kylian Mbappe

Real Sociedad

All competitions
Last game
Feb 7, 2026 8.00pm
Real Sociedad 3 - 1 Elche
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Mikel Oyarzabal

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Real Madrid win with a probability of 62.76%. A draw has a probability of 20.7% and a win for Real Sociedad has a probability of 16.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.81%) and 2-1 (10.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.42%) , while for a Real Sociedad win it is 0-1 (4.58%).

Result

Real Madrid 62.76% (-0.31)
Draw 20.7% (-0.15)
Real Sociedad 16.54% (+0.47)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.34% (+0.75)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.79% (+0.86)
Under 1.5 21.21% (-0.86)
Over 2.5 56.35% (+1.32)
Under 2.5 43.65% (-1.32)
Over 3.5 34.32% (+0.65)
Under 3.5 65.68% (-0.64)
Over 4.5 20.65% (+0.34)
Under 4.5 79.35% (-0.35)

First Half Winner

Real Madrid 45.28% (+0.28)
Draw 37.6% (-0.05)
Real Sociedad 17.12% (-0.22)

Team To Score First

Real Madrid 59.27% (-0.54)
No Goal 5.25% (-0.37)
Real Sociedad 35.48% (+0.90)

Corners

Over 8 64.4% (-0.29)
Equal 8 10.53% (+0.04)
Under 8 25.08% (+0.26)
Over 9 53.09% (-0.32)
Equal 9 11.3% (+0.02)
Under 9 35.6% (+0.29)
Over 10.5 41.96% (-0.30)
Under 10.5 58.04% (+0.30)

Real Madrid Goals

Over 1.5 59.06% (+0.33)
Under 1.5 40.94% (-0.33)
Over 2.5 31.31% (+0.34)
Under 2.5 68.69% (-0.35)
Over 3.5 12.93% (+0.21)
Under 3.5 87.07% (-0.22)

Real Sociedad Goals

Over 0.5 53.04% (+1.05)
Under 0.5 46.96% (-1.05)
Over 1.5 21.73% (+0.88)
Under 1.5 78.27% (-0.88)
Over 2.5 6.33% (+0.67)
Under 2.5 93.67% (-0.66)
Over 3.5 1.57% (+0.15)
Under 3.5 98.43% (-0.14)

Score analysis

Real Madrid 62.76%
Draw 20.7%
Real Sociedad 16.55%
Real Madrid
1-0 @ 11.39% (-0.34)
2-0 @ 10.81% (-0.31)
2-1 @ 10.31% (+0.26)
3-1 @ 7% (+0.13)
3-0 @ 6.74% (-0.11)
3-2 @ 3.73% (-0.05)
Other @ 12.78% (+0.10)
Total : 62.76%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.42% (-0.09)
0-0 @ 5.25% (-0.37)
2-2 @ 4.97% (+0.05)
Other @ 0.15% (+0.11)
Total : 20.7%
Real Sociedad
0-1 @ 4.58% (-0.13)
1-2 @ 4.5% (+0.29)
0-2 @ 2.2% (-0.07)
1-3 @ 1.71% (+0.14)
2-3 @ 1.66% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.42% (+0.04)
Total : 16.55%

Head to Head

La Liga
Sep 13, 2025 3.15pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
La Liga Gameweek 38
May 24, 2025 3.15pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
  • Kylian Mbappe 38' goal
  • Kylian Mbappe 83' goal
Copa del Rey
Apr 1, 2025 8.30pm
4
4
HT : 1 1
ET Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
  • Endrick 30' goal
  • Jude Bellingham 82' goal
  • Aurelien Tchouameni 86' goal
  • Eduardo Camavinga 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Antonio Rudiger 115' goal
  • goal Ander Barrenetxea 16'
  • goal David Alaba 72' (OG)
  • yellowcard Jon Aramburu 74'
  • goal Mikel Oyarzabal 80'
  • yellowcard Javi Lopez 87'
  • yellowcard Mikel Oyarzabal 87'
  • goal Mikel Oyarzabal 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Jon Ander Olasagasti 106'
Copa del Rey
Feb 26, 2025 8.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Reale Arena
  • goal Endrick 19'
  • yellowcard Raul Asencio del Rosario 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Lucas Vazquez 86'
La Liga Gameweek 5
Sep 14, 2024 8.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Reale Arena
  • Umar Sadiq 17' yellowcard
  • Jon Aramburu 28' yellowcard
  • Jon Pacheco 82' yellowcard
  • Ander Barrenetxea 83' yellowcard
  • goal Vinicius Junior 58'
  • goal Kylian Mbappe 75'
  • yellowcard Luka Modric 79'
La Liga Gameweek 33
Apr 26, 2024 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Reale Arena
  • Robin Le Normand 40' yellowcard
  • Igor Zubeldia 70' yellowcard
  • Mikel Merino 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Arda Guler 15'
  • goal Arda Guler 29'
  • yellowcard Fran Garcia 56'
  • yellowcard Aurelien Tchouameni 83'
  • yellowcard Nacho 88'