Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 62.98%. A draw had a probability of 20.56% and a win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 16.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.89%) and 2-1 (10.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.38%) , while for a Real Sociedad win it was 0-1 (4.59%).