Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 39.87%. A win for Mallorca had a probability of 32.25% and a draw had a probability of 27.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.97%) and 0-2 (7%). The likeliest Mallorca win was 1-0 (9.94%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.