Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 57.16%. A draw had a probability of 23.73% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 19.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.36%) and 2-0 (9.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.04%) , while for a Mallorca win it was 0-1 (5.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.