Europa League Gameweek 8
Jan 29, 2026 8.00pm
Stadion Rajko Mitić

Red Star Belgrade vs Celta Vigo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Red Star Belgrade

All competitions
Last game
Jan 22, 2026 5.45pm
Malmo 0 - 1 Red Star

Celta Vigo

All competitions
Last game
Jan 22, 2026 8.00pm
Celta Vigo 2 - 1 Lille

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Red Star Belgrade win with a probability of 48.22%. A win for Celta Vigo has a probability of 29.09% and a draw has a probability of 22.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Red Star Belgrade win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.62%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win is 1-2 (7.15%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.54%).

Result

Red Star Belgrade 48.22% (+0.33)
Draw 22.69% (-0.53)
Celta Vigo 29.09% (+0.24)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.92% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.92% (+0.94)
Under 1.5 20.08% (-0.95)
Over 2.5 58.2% (+1.25)
Under 2.5 41.8% (-1.25)
Over 3.5 34.91% (+0.56)
Under 3.5 65.09% (-0.57)
Over 4.5 21.55% (+0.48)
Under 4.5 78.45% (-0.47)

First Half Winner

Red Star Belgrade 40.19% (-2.81)
Draw 38.3% (+1.21)
Celta Vigo 21.51% (+1.59)

Team To Score First

Red Star Belgrade 58.83% (+0.13)
No Goal 5.2% (-0.35)
Celta Vigo 35.97% (+0.22)

Corners

Over 8 51.24% (-1.22)
Equal 8 11.34% (-0.14)
Under 8 37.42% (+1.35)
Over 9 40.24% (-1.00)
Equal 9 11% (-0.23)
Under 9 48.76% (+1.22)
Over 10.5 30.39% (-0.74)
Under 10.5 69.61% (+0.74)

Red Star Belgrade Goals

Over 1.5 48.89% (+0.92)
Under 1.5 51.11% (-0.92)
Over 2.5 24.88% (+0.56)
Under 2.5 75.12% (-0.57)
Over 3.5 10.81% (+0.33)
Under 3.5 89.19% (-0.33)

Celta Vigo Goals

Over 0.5 64.05% (+0.44)
Under 0.5 35.95% (-0.44)
Over 1.5 33.08% (+0.43)
Under 1.5 66.92% (-0.43)
Over 2.5 13.16% (+0.25)
Under 2.5 86.84% (-0.24)
Over 3.5 4.15% (+0.10)
Under 3.5 95.85% (-0.10)

Score analysis

Red Star Belgrade 48.23%
Draw 22.7%
Celta Vigo 29.09%
Red Star Belgrade
2-1 @ 9.27% (+0.26)
1-0 @ 8.62% (-0.53)
2-0 @ 7.06% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 4.88% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.6% (+0.14)
3-2 @ 3.31% (+0.11)
Other @ 10.49% (+0.31)
Total : 48.23%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.54% (-0.24)
2-2 @ 5.36% (+0.07)
0-0 @ 5.2% (-0.35)
3-3 @ 1.28% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.32% (+0.03)
Total : 22.7%
Celta Vigo
1-2 @ 7.15% (+0.15)
0-1 @ 6.28% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 4.1% (-0.14)
1-3 @ 3.14% (+0.04)
2-3 @ 2.32% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 2.27% (+0.15)
Other @ 3.83% (+0.08)
Total : 29.09%