Europa League Gameweek 7
Jan 22, 2026 5.45pm
Malmö Stadion

Malmo vs Red Star Belgrade - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Malmo

All competitions
Last game
Dec 11, 2025 8.00pm
Porto 2 - 1 Malmo

Red Star Belgrade

All competitions
Last game
Dec 11, 2025 5.45pm
Sturm Graz 0 - 1 Red Star

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Red Star Belgrade win with a probability of 52.44%. A win for Malmo has a probability of 26.56% and a draw has a probability of 21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Red Star Belgrade win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.53%) and 0-2 (8.07%). The likeliest Malmo win is 2-1 (6.47%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.15%).

Result

Malmo 26.56%
Draw 21% (-0.59)
Red Star Belgrade 52.44% (+0.59)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.81% (+1.03)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.82% (+0.66)
Under 1.5 21.18% (-0.67)
Over 2.5 58.21% (+1.26)
Under 2.5 41.79% (-1.26)
Over 3.5 35.28% (+0.63)
Under 3.5 64.69% (-0.66)
Over 4.5 22.13% (+0.44)
Under 4.5 77.87% (-0.44)

First Half Winner

Malmo 24.51% (-0.84)
Draw 36.72% (-0.74)
Red Star Belgrade 38.76% (+1.56)

Team To Score First

Malmo 42.32% (+0.04)
No Goal 5.45% (-0.29)
Red Star Belgrade 52.23% (+0.24)

Corners

Over 8 57.18%
Equal 8 10.85% (-0.01)
Under 8 31.96%
Over 9 46.17%
Equal 9 11.01% (-0.01)
Under 9 42.82%
Over 10.5 35.85%
Under 10.5 64.15%

Malmo Goals

Over 1.5 30.38% (+0.35)
Under 1.5 69.62% (-0.35)
Over 2.5 12.13% (+0.33)
Under 2.5 87.87% (-0.32)
Over 3.5 4.12% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 95.88% (-0.08)

Red Star Belgrade Goals

Over 0.5 79.42% (+0.55)
Under 0.5 20.58% (-0.55)
Over 1.5 51.32% (+0.79)
Under 1.5 48.68% (-0.79)
Over 2.5 26.44% (+0.65)
Under 2.5 73.56% (-0.65)
Over 3.5 11.27% (+0.17)
Under 3.5 88.73% (-0.16)

Score analysis

Malmo 26.57%
Draw 21.01%
Red Star Belgrade 52.43%
Malmo
2-1 @ 6.47% (+0.13)
1-0 @ 5.97% (-0.21)
2-0 @ 3.38% (-0.23)
3-1 @ 2.71% (+0.07)
3-2 @ 2.25% (+0.07)
3-0 @ 1.8% (+0.12)
Other @ 3.99% (+0.09)
Total : 26.57%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.15% (-0.29)
0-0 @ 5.45% (-0.29)
2-2 @ 5.03% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.25%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 21.01%
Red Star Belgrade
0-1 @ 9.77% (-0.16)
1-2 @ 9.53% (+0.21)
0-2 @ 8.07% (-0.11)
1-3 @ 5.43% (+0.15)
0-3 @ 5.12% (+0.20)
2-3 @ 3.37% (+0.15)
Other @ 11.14% (+0.17)
Total : 52.43%