Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Legia Warsaw win with a probability of 37.78%. A win for Malmo had a probability of 37.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Legia Warsaw win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.13%) and 0-2 (5.26%). The likeliest Malmo win was 2-1 (8.56%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.