Europa League
Feb 19, 2026 5.45pm
Stadio Toumbas

PAOK vs Celta Vigo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

PAOK

All competitions

Celta Vigo

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a PAOK win with a probability of 53.7%. A draw has a probability of 25.84% and a win for Celta Vigo has a probability of 20.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a PAOK win is 1-0 with a probability of 14.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.97%) and 2-1 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.73%) , while for a Celta Vigo win it is 0-1 (7.7%).

Result

PAOK 53.7% (+1.21)
Draw 25.84% (+0.11)
Celta Vigo 20.46% (-1.29)

Both Teams to Score: 

43.32% (-0.65)

Goals

Over 1.5 68.3% (-0.22)
Under 1.5 31.7% (+0.22)
Over 2.5 42.41% (-0.50)
Under 2.5 57.59% (+0.50)
Over 3.5 21.84% (+0.17)
Under 3.5 78.16% (-0.16)
Over 4.5 12.1% (+0.19)
Under 4.5 87.9% (-0.19)

First Half Winner

PAOK 40.73% (+2.16)
Draw 40.5% (-3.48)
Celta Vigo 18.77% (+1.33)

Team To Score First

PAOK 59.2% (+1.68)
No Goal 9.65% (+0.12)
Celta Vigo 31.15% (-1.79)

Corners

Over 8 48.58% (+1.36)
Equal 8 12.33% (+0.16)
Under 8 39.09% (-1.49)
Over 9 36.9% (+1.11)
Equal 9 11.69% (+0.26)
Under 9 51.42% (-1.36)
Over 10.5 26.73% (+0.79)
Under 10.5 73.27% (-0.80)

PAOK Goals

Over 1.5 44.89% (+0.80)
Under 1.5 55.11% (-0.80)
Over 2.5 19.72% (+0.44)
Under 2.5 80.28% (-0.44)
Over 3.5 7.11% (+0.21)
Under 3.5 92.89% (-0.21)

Celta Vigo Goals

Over 0.5 52.46% (-0.97)
Under 0.5 47.54% (+0.97)
Over 1.5 19.46% (-1.08)
Under 1.5 80.54% (+1.08)
Over 2.5 5.08% (-0.71)
Under 2.5 94.92% (+0.72)
Over 3.5 1.23% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 98.77% (+0.07)

Score analysis

PAOK 53.69%
Draw 25.84%
Celta Vigo 20.46%
PAOK
1-0 @ 14.34% (+0.25)
2-0 @ 10.97% (+0.40)
2-1 @ 9.16% (+0.06)
3-0 @ 5.49% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 4.41% (+0.09)
3-2 @ 2.24% (+0.19)
Other @ 7.08% (+0.22)
Total : 53.69%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.73% (+0.09)
0-0 @ 9.65% (+0.12)
2-2 @ 3.96%
Other @ 0.03% (-0.03)
Total : 25.84%
Celta Vigo
0-1 @ 7.7% (-0.11)
1-2 @ 4.98% (-0.34)
0-2 @ 3.2% (-0.20)
1-3 @ 1.36% (-0.10)
2-3 @ 1.08% (-0.08)
Other @ 1.2% (-0.06)
Total : 20.46%

Head to Head

Europa League
Oct 2, 2025 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT