Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 45.58%. A win for Osasuna had a probability of 28.49% and a draw had a probability of 25.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Osasuna win was 0-1 (7.56%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.