League One Gameweek 42
Apr 7, 2026 7.45pm
Vale Park

Port Vale vs Rotherham United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Port Vale

All competitions
Last game
Mar 28, 2026 3.00pm
Wycombe 4 - 0 Port Vale
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Ben Waine

Rotherham United

All competitions
Last game
Apr 3, 2026 3.00pm
Rotherham 0 - 0 Stevenage
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
S. Nombe

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Port Vale win with a probability of 47.52%. A win for Rotherham United has a probability of 26.4% and a draw has a probability of 26.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (8.43%). The likeliest Rotherham United win is 0-1 (8.02%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.23%).

Result

Port Vale 47.52% (-0.59)
Draw 26.08% (+0.09)
Rotherham United 26.4% (+0.50)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.25% (-0.71)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.1% (-0.68)
Under 1.5 27.9% (+0.67)
Over 2.5 47.27% (-1.04)
Under 2.5 52.73% (+1.04)
Over 3.5 25.46% (-1.17)
Under 3.5 74.54% (+1.17)
Over 4.5 13.82% (-0.97)
Under 4.5 86.18% (+0.98)

First Half Winner

Port Vale 35.59% (-0.39)
Draw 43.04% (+0.68)
Rotherham United 21.36% (-0.29)

Team To Score First

Port Vale 54.19% (-0.58)
No Goal 7.88% (+0.10)
Rotherham United 37.93% (+0.47)

Corners

Over 8 59.43% (+2.05)
Equal 8 11.69% (+0.25)
Under 8 28.88% (-2.31)
Over 9 47.34% (+1.59)
Equal 9 12.09% (+0.48)
Under 9 40.57% (-2.05)
Over 10.5 35.92% (+1.00)
Under 10.5 64.08% (-0.99)

Port Vale Goals

Over 1.5 43.2% (-1.10)
Under 1.5 56.8% (+1.10)
Over 2.5 18.71% (-0.94)
Under 2.5 81.29% (+0.95)
Over 3.5 6.6% (-0.50)
Under 3.5 93.4% (+0.50)

Rotherham United Goals

Over 0.5 60.87% (+0.20)
Under 0.5 39.13% (-0.20)
Over 1.5 26.76% (-0.17)
Under 1.5 73.24% (+0.18)
Over 2.5 8.68% (-0.30)
Under 2.5 91.32% (+0.29)
Over 3.5 2.31% (-0.15)
Under 3.5 97.69% (+0.15)

Score analysis

Port Vale 47.52%
Draw 26.08%
Rotherham United 26.39%
Port Vale
1-0 @ 11.99% (+0.25)
2-1 @ 9.4% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.43% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.46% (-0.13)
3-0 @ 4.33% (-0.06)
3-2 @ 2.42% (-0.19)
Other @ 6.49% (-0.47)
Total : 47.52%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.23% (+0.17)
0-0 @ 7.88% (+0.10)
2-2 @ 4.96% (-0.06)
Other @ 0.11% (-0.04)
Total : 26.08%
Rotherham United
0-1 @ 8.02% (+0.33)
1-2 @ 6.52% (+0.13)
0-2 @ 4.18% (+0.23)
1-3 @ 2.22% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.7% (-0.11)
0-3 @ 1.55% (+0.03)
Other @ 2.2% (-0.12)
Total : 26.39%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 1
Aug 2, 2025 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
EFL Cup
Aug 10, 2022 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT Vale Park
  • Nathan Smith 44' yellowcard
  • Malvind Benning 81' goal
  • goal Oliver Rathbone 8'
  • goal Chiedozie Ogbene 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Cohen Bramall 78'
  • yellowcard Oliver Rathbone 90'+2'
EFL Trophy
Nov 30, 2021 7.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
ET AESSEAL New York Stadium
  • Michael Smith 56' goal
  • goal David Amoo 87'
League One
Apr 21, 2014 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Richard Smallwood 45' redcard
  • Michael O'Connor 64' yellowcard
  • Kieran Agard 79' goal
  • Ben Pringle 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Carl Dickinson 61'
League One
Dec 29, 2013 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Louis Dodds 8' goal
  • Richard Duffy 24' yellowcard
  • Anthony Griffith 45' yellowcard
  • Gavin Tomlin 68' goal
  • Chris Shuker 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Michael O'Connor 32'
  • redcard Claude Davis 54'
  • yellowcard Kari Arnason 66'
  • yellowcard Ben Pringle 82'
League Two
Dec 26, 2012 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Michael O'Connor 23' yellowcard
  • Keiran Agard 83' goal
  • Alex Revell 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Doug Loft 34'
  • yellowcard Louis Dodds 39'
  • goal Louis Dodds 56'
  • yellowcard Tom Pope 58'
  • goal Tom Pope 63'
  • yellowcard Richard Duffy 86'