League One
Apr 3, 2026 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT AESSEAL New York Stadium
  • Ar'jany Martha 55' yellowcard
  • Jamal Baptiste 75' yellowcard
  • J. Benson 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jasper Pattenden 16'
  • yellowcard Jordan Houghton 67'
  • yellowcard D. Kemp 67'
  • yellowcard Beryly Lubala 81'

Rotherham United vs Stevenage - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Rotherham United

All competitions
Last game
Mar 21, 2026 3.00pm
Lincoln 3 - 0 Rotherham
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
S. Nombe

Stevenage

All competitions
Last game
Mar 21, 2026 3.00pm
Stevenage 1 - 0 Reading
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
James Tyrrell Reid

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 36.88%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 34.51% and a draw had a probability of 28.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.99%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 0-1 (10.99%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.

Result

Rotherham United 36.88% (-0.10)
Draw 28.62%
Stevenage 34.51% (+0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.16% (-0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 67.78% (-0.10)
Under 1.5 32.22% (+0.09)
Over 2.5 41.84% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 58.16% (+0.06)
Over 3.5 21.15% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 78.85% (+0.06)
Over 4.5 10.66% (-0.06)
Under 4.5 89.34% (+0.05)

First Half Winner

Rotherham United 29.13%
Draw 44.95%
Stevenage 25.92%

Team To Score First

Rotherham United 46.25% (-0.01)
No Goal 9.86% (+0.03)
Stevenage 43.89% (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 58.86% (-0.14)
Equal 8 11.46% (-0.07)
Under 8 29.68% (+0.20)
Over 9 47.07% (-0.05)
Equal 9 11.79% (-0.09)
Under 9 41.14% (+0.14)
Over 10.5 35.96% (+0.04)
Under 10.5 64.04% (-0.03)

Rotherham United Goals

Over 1.5 32.71% (-0.12)
Under 1.5 67.29% (+0.13)
Over 2.5 11.77% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 88.23% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 3.4% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 96.6% (+0.04)

Stevenage Goals

Over 0.5 66.19% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 33.81% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 30.85% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 69.15% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 10.61% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 89.39% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 3.01%
Under 3.5 96.99%

Score analysis

Rotherham United 36.89%
Draw 28.61%
Stevenage 34.5%
Rotherham United
1-0 @ 11.37%
2-1 @ 7.99% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.58% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 3.08% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 2.68% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.87%
Other @ 3.32% (-0.04)
Total : 36.89%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.28% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 9.86% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 4.65% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.08%
Total : 28.61%
Stevenage
0-1 @ 10.99% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 7.64% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 6.08% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 2.75%
0-3 @ 2.39% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.72% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 34.5%

Head to Head

League One
Aug 9, 2025 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
League One Gameweek 45
Apr 27, 2025 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT The Lamex Stadium
  • Carl Piergianni 86' yellowcard
  • Daniel Sweeney 90'+2' goal
  • goal Sam Nombe 8'
  • yellowcard Joe Rafferty 30'
  • yellowcard Liam Kelly 35'
League One Gameweek 14
Oct 26, 2024 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT New York Stadium
  • Hakeem Odofin 25' yellowcard
  • Christ Tiehi 45' yellowcard
  • Jordan Hugill 70' goal
  • Mallik Wilks 73' goal
  • Joe Rafferty 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lewis Freestone 49'
  • yellowcard Eli King 55'
  • yellowcard Aaron Presley 90'+2'
League One
Feb 15, 2014 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Kieran Agard 29' yellowcard
  • Wes Thomas 41' goal
  • James Tavernier 74' yellowcard
  • Lee Frecklington 88' goal
  • yellowcard Jon Ashton 75'
  • goal Francois Zoko 86'
League One
Nov 16, 2013 3.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Jimmy Smith 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Claude Davis 5'
  • goal Ben Pringle 14'
  • goal Claude Davis 61'
  • goal Michael O'Connor 66'
League Two
Jan 25, 2011 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Peter Winn 44' goal
  • Scott Laird 90' goal