League One Gameweek 38
Mar 17, 2026 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Home Park
  • Mathias Ross 57' goal
  • X. Amaechi 64' yellowcard
  • Owen Oseni 79' yellowcard
  • Brendan Galloway 79' yellowcard
  • Brendan Sarpong-Wiredu 90' yellowcard
  • Brendan Sarpong-Wiredu 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Beryly Lubala 77'
  • yellowcard Jordan Houghton 78'
  • yellowcard D. Phillips 78'
  • yellowcard L. Brown 90'
  • yellowcard D. Sweeney 90'

Plymouth Argyle vs Stevenage - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Plymouth Argyle

All competitions
Last game
Mar 14, 2026 3.00pm
Reading 2 - 2 Plymouth
Goals scored
60
Top scorer
Aribim Pepple

Stevenage

All competitions
Last game
Mar 14, 2026 3.00pm
Stevenage 1 - 0 AFC Wimbledon
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
James Tyrrell Reid

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 44.16%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 29.74% and a draw had a probability of 26.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 0-1 (7.72%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.

Result

Plymouth Argyle 44.16% (+0.21)
Draw 26.06% (-0.06)
Stevenage 29.74% (-0.21)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.63% (-0.29)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.58% (-0.15)
Under 1.5 24.42% (+0.15)
Over 2.5 51.66% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 48.34% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 29.21% (+0.27)
Under 3.5 70.79% (-0.26)
Over 4.5 16.27% (+0.31)
Under 4.5 83.73% (-0.32)

First Half Winner

Plymouth Argyle 32.71% (-0.25)
Draw 42.87% (+0.26)
Stevenage 24.43% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Plymouth Argyle 52.25% (-0.21)
No Goal 6.77% (+0.05)
Stevenage 40.98% (+0.15)

Corners

Over 8 61.11% (+0.43)
Equal 8 11.34% (+0.09)
Under 8 27.56% (-0.52)
Over 9 49.23% (+0.28)
Equal 9 11.88% (+0.16)
Under 9 38.89% (-0.43)
Over 10.5 37.86% (+0.12)
Under 10.5 62.14% (-0.12)

Plymouth Argyle Goals

Over 1.5 43.54% (+0.23)
Under 1.5 56.46% (-0.23)
Over 2.5 19.1% (+0.25)
Under 2.5 80.9% (-0.25)
Over 3.5 6.76% (+0.28)
Under 3.5 93.24% (-0.29)

Stevenage Goals

Over 0.5 65.73% (-0.41)
Under 0.5 34.27% (+0.42)
Over 1.5 31.96% (-0.18)
Under 1.5 68.04% (+0.18)
Over 2.5 11.62% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 88.38% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 3.5% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 96.5% (-0.10)

Score analysis

Plymouth Argyle 44.16%
Draw 26.06%
Stevenage 29.74%
Plymouth Argyle
1-0 @ 9.89% (+0.04)
2-1 @ 9.37% (-0.08)
2-0 @ 7.24% (+0.07)
3-1 @ 4.5% (-0.04)
3-0 @ 3.78%
3-2 @ 2.83% (-0.01)
Other @ 6.55% (+0.23)
Total : 44.16%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.18% (-0.17)
0-0 @ 6.77% (+0.05)
2-2 @ 5.67%
3-3 @ 1.23% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.21% (+0.05)
Total : 26.06%
Stevenage
0-1 @ 7.72% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 7.33% (-0.16)
0-2 @ 4.51% (-0.08)
1-3 @ 2.77% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.16% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.96% (-0.03)
Other @ 3.29% (+0.05)
Total : 29.74%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 24
Jan 1, 2026 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT The Lamex Stadium
  • L. James-Wildin 53' goal
  • D. Kemp 59' yellowcard
  • Chem Campbell 74' yellowcard
  • J. Roberts 74' yellowcard
  • J. Young 74' yellowcard
  • Jasper Pattenden 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Caleb Watts 67'
  • yellowcard X. Amaechi 67'
  • yellowcard Kornél Szűcs 67'
  • goal Malachi Boateng 68'
League Two Gameweek 29
Jan 25, 2020 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Charlie Carter 89' goal
  • goal Byron Moore 47'
  • goal Ryan Hardie 85'
  • yellowcard Scott Wootton 101'
League Two Gameweek 24
Dec 29, 2019 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Tyler Denton 23' goal
  • Antoni Sarcevic 43' yellowcard
  • Niall Canavan 65' yellowcard
  • Niall Canavan 96' goal
  • goal Elliott List 60'
  • yellowcard Dean Parrett 60'
  • yellowcard Ben Nugent 88'
  • yellowcard Paul Taylor 95'
FA Cup
Nov 10, 2018 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Antoni Sarcevic 65' yellowcard
  • Ruben Lameiras 90' goal
  • Graham Carey 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Luke Wilkinson 21'
  • yellowcard Michael Timlin 69'
  • yellowcard Johnny Hunt 85'
League Two
Jan 14, 2017 3.00pm
4
2
HT : 2 2
FT
  • Jordan Slew 35' goal
  • Jake Jervis 42' goal
  • Arnold Garita 54' goal
  • David Goodwillie 92' goal
  • goal Matt Godden 2'
  • goal Steven Schumacher 45'
  • yellowcard Ryan Loft 65'
League Two
Oct 8, 2016 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Matthew Godden 29' yellowcard
  • Ronnie Henry 46' yellowcard
  • Sonny Bradley 54' goal
  • Henry Cowans 69' yellowcard
  • Fraser Franks 78' yellowcard
  • goal Sonny Bradley 47'
  • yellowcard James Spencer 50'
  • goal Sonny Bradley 58'
  • yellowcard Ben Purrington 69'
  • yellowcard Jake Jervis 85'