Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 38.31%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 35.36% and a draw had a probability of 26.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.22%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 (8.66%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.