Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 42.87%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 31.01% and a draw had a probability of 26.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 0-1 (7.86%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.