League One Gameweek 36
Mar 7, 2026 3.00pm
Pirelli Stadium

Burton Albion vs Stevenage - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Burton Albion

All competitions
Last game
Mar 3, 2026 7.45pm
Exeter 1 - 1 Burton Albion
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Jake Beesley

Stevenage

All competitions
Last game
Feb 28, 2026 3.00pm
Stevenage 2 - 1 Stockport
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Jamie Reid

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Burton Albion win with a probability of 42.84%. A win for Stevenage has a probability of 31.04% and a draw has a probability of 26.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Stevenage win is 0-1 (7.88%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.28%).

Result

Burton Albion 42.84% (-0.23)
Draw 26.12% (+0.04)
Stevenage 31.04% (+0.20)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.68% (-0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.16% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 24.84% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 51.24% (-0.11)
Under 2.5 48.76% (+0.11)
Over 3.5 29.34% (-0.11)
Under 3.5 70.66% (+0.10)
Over 4.5 16.53% (-0.09)
Under 4.5 83.47% (+0.10)

First Half Winner

Burton Albion 31.6%
Draw 44.77%
Stevenage 23.63%

Team To Score First

Burton Albion 51.42% (-0.01)
No Goal 6.91% (+0.04)
Stevenage 41.67% (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 60.67% (-0.06)
Equal 8 11.19% (-0.03)
Under 8 28.14% (+0.09)
Over 9 49% (-0.04)
Equal 9 11.67% (-0.03)
Under 9 39.33% (+0.06)
Over 10.5 37.84% (-0.01)
Under 10.5 62.16% (+0.01)

Burton Albion Goals

Over 1.5 42.05% (-0.25)
Under 1.5 57.95% (+0.25)
Over 2.5 18.09% (-0.20)
Under 2.5 81.91% (+0.19)
Over 3.5 6.31% (-0.12)
Under 3.5 93.69% (+0.11)

Stevenage Goals

Over 0.5 66.33% (+0.13)
Under 0.5 33.67% (-0.12)
Over 1.5 32.87% (+0.13)
Under 1.5 67.13% (-0.14)
Over 2.5 12.5% (+0.09)
Under 2.5 87.5% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 4.02% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 95.98% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Burton Albion 42.84%
Draw 26.12%
Stevenage 31.03%
Burton Albion
1-0 @ 10.04%
2-1 @ 9.03% (-0.04)
2-0 @ 7.01% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 4.27% (-0.04)
3-0 @ 3.51% (-0.04)
3-2 @ 2.79% (-0.03)
Other @ 6.19% (-0.11)
Total : 42.84%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.28% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.91% (+0.04)
2-2 @ 5.6%
3-3 @ 1.21%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.12%
Stevenage
0-1 @ 7.88% (+0.05)
1-2 @ 7.33% (+0.04)
0-2 @ 4.65% (+0.05)
1-3 @ 2.93% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.32%
0-3 @ 2.02% (+0.03)
Other @ 3.9% (+0.05)
Total : 31.03%

Head to Head

League One
Dec 20, 2025 12.30pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Jamie Reid 46' goal
  • Jack Armer 60' goal
  • Alex Revell 63' yellowcard
  • Saxon Earley 76' yellowcard
  • goal Tyrese Shade 22'
  • goal Jake Beesley 67'
  • yellowcard Dylan Willis 68'
League One Gameweek 26
Feb 18, 2025 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT The Lamex Stadium
  • goal Charlie Webster 45'
  • redcard Terence Vancooten 57'
  • yellowcard Owen Dodgson 79'
  • yellowcard Max Crocombe 90'
  • yellowcard Udoka Godwin-Malife 90'+2'
EFL Trophy
Dec 10, 2024 7.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 1
FT Pirelli Stadium
  • Alejandro Bran 2' yellowcard
  • Dylan Willis 20' yellowcard
  • Ciaran Gilligan 72' yellowcard
  • Ben Whitfield 74' yellowcard
  • goal Lewis Freestone 6'
  • goal Tyreece Simpson 54'
  • yellowcard Carl Piergianni 62'
  • goal Ken Aboh 78'
  • goal Harvey White 83'
League One Gameweek 3
Aug 24, 2024 12.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Pirelli Stadium
  • Udoka Godwin-Malife 34' yellowcard
  • Ciaran Gilligan 67' yellowcard
  • Elliot Watt 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Daniel Sweeney 7'
  • yellowcard Jordan Roberts 34'
  • yellowcard Louis Thompson 34'
  • yellowcard Tyreece Simpson 50'
  • yellowcard Kane Smith 83'
League One Gameweek 44
Apr 13, 2024 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT The Lamex Stadium
  • Dan Butler 61' redcard
  • Ben Thompson 75' yellowcard
  • Kane Hemmings 88' goal
  • Kane Hemmings 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Deji Oshilaja 21'
  • goal Mark Helm 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Mark Helm 61'
  • yellowcard Tom Hamer 71'
  • goal Tom Hamer 76'
League One Gameweek 21
Dec 9, 2023 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Pirelli Stadium
  • Deji Oshilaja 7' goal
  • Cole Stockton 66' yellowcard
  • Deji Oshilaja 77' yellowcard
  • Sam Hughes 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Steve Evans 0'
  • goal Kane Hemmings 45'+1'
  • goal Jamie Reid 51'
  • yellowcard Harrison Neal 61'
  • yellowcard Jake Forster-Caskey 63'